Thursday, March 31, 2005

India welcomes US offers of strategic partnership

India welcomes US offers of strategic partnership

NEW DELHI: India Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has welcomed last week’s offer from the United States to sell warplanes, nuclear reactors and missile systems, India’s media reported on Thursday.

Singh initially expressed "disappointment" in a telephone call with President George W Bush on the offer because it included a decision by the United States to resume the sale of F-16 fighter jets to Pakistan.

However, speaking to reporters on Wednesday on his way to Mauritius, Singh changed his tone to one of cautious welcome. "India welcomes the development," Singh told reporters covering his visit.

"The fact is that the US has expressed its willingness to engage in matters related to increased cooperation in matters related to nuclear as well as non-nuclear issues. It is a fact they (US) want the strategic relationship to grow in depth. We have to find out what they want exactly, what they have in mind," Singh added.

Meanwhile, in Port Louis on Thursday, Singh renewed calls for New Delhi to be given a permanent seat on the UN Security Council as he visited Mauritius to seal a number of cooperation pacts.

"India has the will and the capacity to be a permanent member of the Security Council," he said in an address to the Mauritius parliament on the second of a four-day official visit to the Indian Ocean island nation.

"Our membership will enhance the Security Council’s effectiveness, credibility and legitimacy," Singh told the lawmakers, thanking them for Mauritian support for India’s bid for a seat on the UN’s most powerful body.




Non-Punjabis revolt against Pakistani Punjabi domination

Businesses have closed in a number of Pakistani cities following a strike called in protest against the influence of the Punjab in national life.

Riot police moved in to disperse protesters throwing stones in Peshawar in North-West Frontier Province.

Nationalists demanding greater political and economic rights also took to the streets in the restive south-west province of Balochistan.

Activists say ethnic groups in smaller provinces do not have equal rights.

Buses torched

Supporters of the Pakistan Oppressed Nations Movement (PONM) disrupted normal life in Balochistan, Sindh and North-West Frontier Province.

The shutdown was most effective in Peshawar and in Quetta, capital of Balochistan.


We called the strike because we are opposed to colonisation of the land of minority nationalities
Sannaullah Baluch, PONM

Hundreds of supporters of the regional and nationalist groups stayed on the streets of cities in Balochistan during the day to ensure a shutdown.

Reports from the interior of Sindh said businesses in most of the cities there were also closed and there was also a partial strike in Karachi, with shops shut in the suburbs and most public transport off the roads.

A government official said transport companies pulled buses off the roads because of overnight violence during which several vehicles were set on fire.

Three more buses were torched on Thursday morning.

In Peshawar, PONM supporters took to the streets on Thursday morning, throwing stones at passing vehicles and shops that had opened.

Police detained an opposition senator, Raza Ahmed Raza, and dozens of others.

Outlets of the Subway food chain and Honda cars were damaged.

Constitution

There were also reports of sporadic clashes in some parts of Balochistan, but officials say by and large the situation remained under control.

PONM is an alliance of several groups that aspire for greater rights for smaller provinces.

The alliance accuses the bigger province, Punjab, which has largely ignored the strike call, and the federal government of denying people rights in other areas.

They say that people in smaller provinces are not given their due share of jobs.

Its main demand is for a new national constitution to ensure equal rights.

The BBC's Zaffar Abbas in Islamabad says that recently the alliance has been rallying around armed Baloch nationalists, who in their campaign for greater rights have started what is effectively a mini-insurgency by targeting government installations in Balochistan.

Eight soldiers and dozens of local died in clashes at Dera Bugti last month.

KSE crashes and burns again

Rumours-led selling drags KSE-100 index 315 pts down

KARACHI: The Karachi Stock Exchange plunged once again on Thursday due to various rumours regarding futures trading and the outcome of investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commi-ssion of Pakistan into recent debacle, brokers said.

The KSE 100-share index shed 315.23 points, or 3.90 percent, to close at 7,770.33 points against the close of 8,085.56 points in the previous session. The index touched the highest level of 8,247.2 points and the lowest level of 7,751.13 points.

The index caved in after being 165 points up in the morning when the investors were upbeat about a recovery in stocks. Effectively from that point the index witnessed a fall of 499 points to an intra-day low of 7,750 points.

Wednesday, March 30, 2005

Pakistani terrorists in the UK

POLICE SEIZE EXPLOSIVES
Eight men are continuing to be being questioned over an alleged plot to unleash a terrorist bombing campaign in Britain.

Detectives found more than half a ton of ammonium nitrate fertiliser - the same explosive ingredient already used in terror attacks in Bali, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Africa and the United States.

It was the biggest seizure of potential bomb-making material since the IRA suspended its terror campaign in 1997.

Police and security chiefs believe a series of "spectacular" terror attacks including truck bombs could have been launched within weeks.

It could have been used to target "postcard" monuments like Downing Street and Parliament or "soft" targets like pubs, nightclubs and shopping centres.

The suspects, aged between 17 and 32, are all British citizens and Muslims of Pakistani descent, sources said.

They were held on suspicion of "being concerned in the commission, preparation or instigation of acts of terrorism" in dawn raids by 700 police officers at 24 addresses across London and the Home Counties.

Scotland Yard's Anti-Terrorist Branch and MI5 have been gathering intelligence on the group for months in an operation codenamed Crevis.

Washington upgrades ties with Delhi

Washington upgrades ties with Delhi

Washington upgrades ties with Delhi
By Ray Marcelo in New Delhi and Farhan Bokhari in Islamabad
Published: March 29 2005 01:56 | Last updated: March 29 2005 01:56

us_india_military

Washington has given its clearest support yet for New Delhi's ambitions to become a leading power by offering to sell India jet fighters, share civilian nuclear and space technology, and co-operate with energy policy.

The US measures, outlined at the weekend by India's foreign ministry, follow this month's visit to south Asia by Condoleezza Rice, US secretary of state, and represent a concrete package to “upgrade” blossoming ties between the countries.

“India is fast becoming a major world power and our interest is in helping to integrate that world power into the existing power structure in the world,” said Adam Ereli, US State Department deputy spokesman. US-India ties have been formalised through talks called “Next Steps in Strategic Partnership”, which enable the countries to sidestep disagreements following the sanctions that Washington imposed on India afterit successfully testednuclear weapons in 1998.

A key disagreement has been India's refusal to sign the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. US law bans countries that have not signed the treaty from buying sensitive “dual use” technology that can be used for civilian and military purposes.

But analysts say the US's latest moves go beyond “Next Steps” by offering India access to nuclear power reactors ending the 30-year export ban on this technology and in effect showing Washington trusts India as a nuclear power.

Navtej Sarna, spokesman for India's foreign ministry, said it showed an “understanding of India's growing energy requirements”, in the lead-up to a joint “energy dialogue”.

This dialogue will almost certainly involve India's plans to build a controversial gas pipeline to Iran, via Pakistan. Ms Rice said the US opposed the pipeline because of the Bush administration's “well known” antagonism to Iran.

Mr Ereli said that, as part of a multibillion dollar upgrade of India's armed forces, US defence companies would be allowed to bid for 126 “multi-role combat aircraft”, a deal that for the first time would pit US companies against Russian, French and Swedish jet fighter makers. This follows the Bush administration's long-expected decision to sell F-16 fighter aircraft to Pakistan. Foreign diplomats say this deal, alongside the potential sale of F-16 and F-18 jets to India, represents a vigorous attempt by the US to break into the south Asian arms market.

It is understood the US offer to Pakistan includes the sale of at least 25 new F-16 C and D models, which are capable of deploying nuclear weapons, and upgrades for some 28 older model F-16s.

Pakistani officials estimate this deal could be worth up to $1bn (€770m, £535m) while a western diplomat in Islamabad said a US and India agreement could “go up to $4bn or $5bn”. But Pakistani officials say any agreement between Washington and New Delhi could harm longstanding defence ties between Russia and India.

Sunday, March 27, 2005

Pakistani terrorist in Iraq

Pakistanis held in Iraq with explosives

BAGHDAD, March 26: Iraqi forces said on Saturday that they had arrested 120 suspects, including foreign Arabs, Pakistanis and Afghans, on suspicion of planning attacks against the country's Shia community.

A source at the defence ministry said the suspects were arrested during a raid in Jurf al-Sakhr, about 60km south of Baghdad.

"We found explosive devices and materials, booby-trapped cars and compact discs showing beheadings," said the source, who did not wish to be identified.

He said preliminary interrogation of the suspects had revealed that they had a list of clerics targeted for assassination in the mid-Euphrates region, which includes the Shia shrine cities of Karbala and Najaf. "Some of them were tasked with attacking pilgrims with small arms fire and roadside bombs and even poisoning their food," the source said.-AFP

Lockheed offers "exclusive" F-16s to India

Lockheed offers "exclusive" F-16s to India

Sunday, March 27, 2005 (New Delhi):

US aviation manufacturer Lockheed Martin has offered to build "exclusive" F-16 fighters for the Indian Air Force, much superior to any existing fighters in service world over.

"If India's requirements are beyond any existing fighters, we are prepared to make upgraded F-16s to India's specifications with complete transfer of technology," Mike Kelly, Senior Executive of Lockheed Martin said.

Kelly's comments assume importance after US administration's decision to clear sales of high-technology fighters to India and Pakistan.

"We have in the past taken up building of such exclusive fighters for UAE and are prepared to manufacture F-16s to India's special requirements," he said.

Govt-to-govt deal

The F-16 deal, like the weapons-locating radars and new contract for the US Navy cover for Indian naval submarines in distress, is going to be concluded as a Government-to-Government deal under the FMS system.

The deal estimated to cost $6-7 million projects supply of 18 aircraft in fly away conditions and the rest 108 assembled in India under technology transfer.

Analysts said that administration's announcement meant that along with the sales of the fighters, Washington may allow the sale of entire array of weapons platform mounted on it.

Lockheed Martin is currently manufacturing F-16s in two versions. While Block 50-52 was being supplied to US and European air forces, the Block 60 was developed exclusively for United Arab Emirates.

Big competitors

Besides Lockheed, the US announcement has also cleared the ground for the other American aviation giant Boeing to bid for India's plans to acquire 126 multi-role combat aircraft.

The other big competitors are the Dassault, the makers of French Mirage fighters, Swedish Grippen and Russians.

Pakistan Air Force currently flies 40 F-16s of Block 15 version, which most of the other air forces have almost phased out. Islamabad is seeking to buy 24 more Fighting Falcons of Block 50-52 version.

Broad range of arms

The F-16s carry a broad range of weapons of American, European and Israeli make and under the sales option, it would be up to New Delhi to go in for any choice.

The Falcons, in their air-to-air combat role, carry American-made Mamram AIM-120 Beyond Visual Range missiles as well as French Mica BVRs.

In the short range combat role, the US fighters carry the latest generation of heat-seeking missiles AMI-9X, the latest version of the famous Sidewinder missiles carried by the Pakistani F-16s.

Other versions of the aircraft carry IRS-T, the European equivalent of the Sidewinder and the Israeli-made Python missiles. (PTI)

Saturday, March 26, 2005

Bush: U.S. to Sell F-16s to Pakistan

Bush: U.S. to Sell F-16s to Pakistan


Reversal, Decried by India, Is Coupled With Fighter-Jet Promise to New Delhi

Pakistan initially wants to buy about two dozen aircraft, but Bush administration officials said there would be no limits on how many it could eventually purchase. The administration tried to balance the sale by announcing simultaneously that it would allow U.S. firms the right to provide India the next generation of sophisticated, multirole combat aircraft, including upgraded F-16 and F-18 warplanes, as well as develop broader cooperation in military command and control, early-warning detection, and missile defense systems.

Bush: U.S. to Sell F-16s to Pakistan

Bush: U.S. to Sell F-16s to Pakistan

Reversal, Decried by India, Is Coupled With Fighter-Jet Promise to New Delhi

By Peter Baker
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, March 26, 2005; Page A01

CRAWFORD, Tex., March 25 -- President Bush rewarded a key ally in the war on terrorism Friday by authorizing the sale of F-16 fighter jets to Pakistan, a move that reversed 15 years of policy begun under his father and that India warned would destabilize the volatile region.

Pakistan initially wants to buy about two dozen aircraft, but Bush administration officials said there would be no limits on how many it could eventually purchase. The administration tried to balance the sale by announcing simultaneously that it would allow U.S. firms the right to provide India the next generation of sophisticated, multirole combat aircraft, including upgraded F-16 and F-18 warplanes, as well as develop broader cooperation in military command and control, early-warning detection, and missile defense systems.

Bush called Singh to explain the decision Friday morning from his ranch here, where he is taking an Easter break, aides said. Indian press accounts took note of the U.S. agreement to allow New Delhi to bid for licenses for joint production of state-of-the-art military equipment, calling it the concession paid in exchange for the fighter sale to Pakistan.


Friday, March 25, 2005

The joke's on the pakis

US gives Pak F-16s, India gets F-16s plus plus
Bush Allows India to access aerospace industry to buy F-16s, F-18s, licences for production; energy cooperation, upgrade of strategic dialogue
C RAJA MOHAN & PRANAB DHAL SAMANTA
NEW DELHI, March 25 Barely hours after an official spokesman said that the Prime Minister expressed ‘‘great disappointment’’ to US President George Bush over his decision to sell F-16 fighter aircraft to Pakistan, there was quiet satisfaction in New Delhi.

In a statement issued after midnight, the MEA spokesperson put on record Washington’s wide-ranging offer that not only allows India to buy F-16s and the latest F-18s from US firms but also seeks to ‘‘upgrade’’ the strategic partnership giving it a ‘‘much more global character.’’

In fact, the US announcement this evening signals a significant differentiation that the Bush Administration is making between India on the one hand and its long-standing competitors in the region—Pakistan and China.

That Bush was going to reward Gen. Pervez Musharraf with F-16s—a sale blocked for 15 years—for his cooperation in the war on terrorism was long known. What has been on offer to India from the United States, however, has been less clear until recently.

In his conversation with Prime Minister Singh today, Bush informed India on the final decision about F-16s to Pakistan and reaffirmed the Rice proposals on strategic cooperation. The Bush package marks a radical departure from the decades-old American policy towards India on defence cooperation and the transfer of advanced technologies.

Washington is offering India a wider array of weapons systems and more importantly the option to produce them in India.

The Bush Administration has now taken a decision to permit its companies to bid for the Indian Air Force contract on the acquisition of 126 multi-role combat aircraft and give them licences for manufacture and production in India.

Sources in the American aerospace industry say once they receive formal communication, they will fully compete in meeting the stringent Indian demands on technology transfer and licensed production.

Lockheed Martin that produces the F-16 and the Boeing that makes the F-15 and F-18 are expected to join the bidding for the Indian purchase of the multi-role combat aircraft.

This is the first time Washington has offered F-16s to India, a country outside the zone of its non-NATO allies.

On missile defence, the classified briefing given to India by a Pentagon team last month was on the PAC 2 Plus system. This takes care of integration with radar systems being developed now by Raytheon. Such a briefing has only been given to Israel outside the NATO.

The Bush Administration is also proposing a major change in its non-proliferation policy towards India by offering cooperation in the area of commercial atomic energy generation—including nuclear reactor technology—for the first time in three decades.

This comes days after US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice—she spoke to External Affairs Minister Natwar Singh in Myanmar today—had revealed a package of proposals aimed at addressing India’s security and energy needs.

Having opposed the natural gas pipeline with Iran, the Bush Administration believes it has an obligation to offer alternative options to India. It is in this context that Washington is proposing nuclear energy cooperation.

The Bush Administration is expected to shortly take up the possibility of such cooperation with the US Congress that has put in legislative constraints on the transfer of nuclear energy technology.

To top it all, the Bush Administration wants a dialogue on global issues with India aimed at increasing New Delhi’s role in international institutions such as the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) and Group of Eight industrial countries.

First, the disappointment, then the quiet satisfaction

Bush to PM: Both India and Pak will get F-16s

Bush to PM: Both India and Pak will get F-16s

The United States on Friday decided to sell F-16s fighter planes to Pakistan. But it more than compensated India by offering multi-role combat aircraft (latest versions of F16s and F-18s), which is generations ahead.

Earlier, US President George W Bush informed Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh of US decision to sell F-16s to Pakistan. Manmohan Singh, however, had conveyed India's disappointment on sale of F-16s to Pakistan.

In a coordinated move, Bush called Manmohan Singh on Friday evening (7.15-7.25 pm), briefing him on the US decision. Almost simultaneously, said US sources, secretary of state Condoleezza Rice informed the US Congress leadership of Bush's decision to offer India the “licence” to produce version of fighters more sophisticated than the F-16s headed for Pakistan, and sell nuclear technology to India.

US offers co-production of F-18s to India

US offers co-production of F-18s to India

NEW DELHI: In a dramatic decision, the United States on Friday night offered the co-production of F-18 fighter jets to India.

This follows the US decision to sell a number of F-16 fighter planes to Pakistan. Indian would be licensed by the United States to produce at least six times the number of planes that would have been sold to Pakistan.

The F-18 Hornets is a two-engined long-range tactical strike aircraft and is superior to the F-16. In the United States, the F-18 is the mainstay of the US Naval airpower. The F-18 can cover several thousand miles for bombing operations and in terms of speed and manoeuvrability; it is far superior to the F-16.

In another decision, the United States has agreed to help India's civilian nuclear programme with the possible sale of nuclear reactors that would be used to generate electricity.

The nuclear energy was one of the major subjects that were discussed between Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice during her recent visit to New Delhi. Although Pentagon has not make known the parameters for sale of nuclear technology to India, informed sources said that it will be worked out shortly.

Thursday, March 24, 2005

US, India discuss military deal: sure to increase demand for pepto-bismol in Islamabad and Beijing

US, India discuss military deal

WASHINGTON (AFP) - India’s Chief of Naval Staff Admiral Arun Prakash, who is on a US visit, discussed purchase of American equipment and systems as part of stepped-up defence cooperation, it was announced here Wednesday.
Details of the purchase were not announced but New Delhi had said this week that a contract was likely to be signed for the purchase of submarine rescue vehicles.
India is also reportedly working out a deal for the purchase of 10 retrofitted Lockheed Martin P3C Orion long-range naval maritime spy aircraft to plug gaps in reconnaissance capability.
Prakash, on a 10-day visit to the United States since March 19, held talks with top defence officials ‘which focused on ways to further India-US naval cooperation including joint exercises and acquisition of US equipment and systems for the Indian Navy,’ the Indian Embassy said in a statement.
‘Both sides reiterated their determination to strengthen all aspects of defence cooperation in the context of the transformed India-US relationship,’ it said.
‘The two sides reaffirmed that the bilateral relationship has been on a steadily ascendant trajectory in recent years and has gained greater strategic content,’ the Embassy said.
India’s Vice Chief of Naval Staff Yashwant Prasad told reporters in New Delhi this week that the two countries were in intense negotiations and likely to sign a contract for US cover for Indian submarines in distress and for the purchase of submarine rescue vehicles by the year end.
India and the United States had almost finalised a contract for the US navy to rescue Indian submarines in distress when US sanctions following New Delhi’s nuclear tests in 1998 derailed the deal, Prasad had said.
The supply of submarine rescue vehicles along with flying kits and P3C Orions would be the second largest defence deal between the two countries in recent years, news reports have said.
Military relations between India and the United States, on opposite sides during the Cold War, have thawed in recent years with both nations holding a series of joint defence exercises over the last 18 months.
India played a key back-up role in US-led relief efforts following the December 26 tsunami disaster that hit a dozen countries along the Indian Ocean and left more than 270,000 dead.
‘The US side welcomed the excellent cooperation between the two countries in organising relief operations during the recent tsunami disaster and expressed admiration for the speed and scale on which India deployed its naval and air assets in this effort,’ the statement said.
Admiral Prakash’s itinerary includes visits to US Navy bases and facilities at Norfolk, Newport, Colorado Springs, Seattle and Hawaii.
At Newport, the naval chief will address students and faculty of the Naval War College on current maritime issues including the security environment in the Indian Ocean region and the role played by the Indian Navy.

More on the riots at the KSE

Riots at stock exchanges as shares plunge

From Salman Siddiqui.
KARACHI - Equities Thursday suffered another major blow in the fifth consecutive session during the week. The capital market has lost more than 2,000 points causing a loss of over Rs500 billion. As predicted earlier, the KSE 100 Index has nose-dived by 4.38 percent with a huge margin of 380.61 points. At the close it was 8314.19. Friday would be another catastrophic day. “However, there is no danger of witnessing any further crash. No one would be at default now,” claimed a major stakeholder at the KSE market.
The situation at Lahore was no different as bearish trend dominated at Lahore Stock Exchange (LSE-25). All the blue chips once again opened at the lowest circuit breaker and index at LSE-25 decreased by 228.68 points and closed at 4465.79.
Negative news regarding any settlement of political dispute in Balochistan and future contact settlement made the investors panicky. There were no buyers. Some institutions came for rescue but in vain.
The KSE 100-shares Index shed another 380 points or declined by 4.38 percent to close at 8314.10 points.

Riot at Karachi stock exchange as shares plunge

Riot at Karachi stock exchange as shares plunge

KARACHI, March 24: Hundreds of furious investors rioted at the Karachi Stock Exchange after shares plummeted from last week's record highs, officials said. Police were called in as around 400 small investors who had been prevented from offloading their falling stocks hurled stones and smashed up cars and office windows in the building's courtyard. "We have arrested five people and the situation is now under control," senior police office Sanaullah Abbasi told AFP. (AFP)

Wednesday, March 23, 2005

Can't take the pakiness out of a Pakistani

Tuesday, March 22, 2005

Baloch Freedom fighters strike again

Gas pipeline blown up, three explosions in Balochistan
Staff Report

QUETTA: A powerful explosion blew up a gas pipeline near Kambri Bridge located between Dhadar and Sibi on Tuesday.

Police inspector Ali Akbar Magsi said that the saboteurs had used powerful explosives to blow up the gas pipeline. An anonymous caller from the Baloch Liberation Army claimed responsibility for the attack.

Three bombs in Balochistan damaged a power line and a shop but caused no casualties, AFP quoted officials as saying on Tuesday. A power pylon was toppled on Monday at Killi Kishungi in Naushki district, 130 kilometres southwest of Quetta, said electricity company spokesman Gibrael Khan.

Uranium sale at K-Mart. Iraq was a customer.

The A.Q. Khan-mart exposed..

‘Khan network offered secrets to build nukes’

Daily Times Monitor

LAHORE: Nuclear investigators from the United States and other nations now believe that the black market network run by Pakistani scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan was selling not only technology for enriching nuclear fuel and blueprints for nuclear weapons, but also some of the darkest of the bomb makers’ arts: the hard-to-master engineering secrets needed to fabricate nuclear warheads, reported New York Times.

The paper said that the suspicion of nuclear investigators were initially raised by the discovery of step-by-step instructions, some of which appear to have come from China and Pakistan, among the documents recovered last year from Libya. More recently, investigators have found that the Khan network had offered similar materials to Iran.

The secrets range from how to cast uranium metal into the form needed at the core of a bomb to how to build the explosive lenses that compress the core and start the detonation. The discoveries have set off a debate in the intelligence community about whether those technological skills made their way to North Korea and Iran. President Bush has vowed he will not tolerate either country’s obtaining a nuclear weapon.

Iran was a customer of the Khan network, and while it appears to have turned down the offer of the engineering secrets in 1987, some intelligence officials are concerned that it picked up the technology elsewhere. North Korea, which is believed to have two separate bomb projects under way, also did business with the Khan network, although precisely what it obtained is not clear. The inability of intelligence officials to track down the whereabouts of the bomb-making instructions underscores the fact that more than a year since Mr Khan’s arrest and pardon by President Gen Pervez Musharraf, there are still many mysteries about what exactly the Khan network was selling, and to whom.

The first public hint that Dr Khan’s network traded in bomb designs and engineering instruction emerged in 1995 after United Nations inspectors in Iraq found a set of documents describing an offer made to Baghdad before the Persian Gulf war of 1991.

Monday, March 21, 2005

Robert Blackwill in the Wall Street Journal

A New Deal for New Delhi

By ROBERT D. BLACKWILL
March 21, 2005; Page A16

Condoleezza Rice's visit to New Delhi last week boosted the U.S.-India relationship and demonstrated that she and her new colleagues at the top of the State Department view India as a rising great power. John Kenneth Galbraith once said, "There are few ironclad rules of diplomacy but to one there is no exception. When an official reports that talks were useful, it can be safely concluded that nothing was accomplished." Ms. Rice's talks in India were more than useful.

Gone are the days when the State Department viewed India myopically through the lens of India's long troubled relationship with Pakistan. Washington has also stopped playing nagging nanny regarding India's nuclear weapons program.

No bilateral relationship in George W. Bush's first term changed as positively as that between India and the U.S. This is important because of congruent vital national interests of the two countries. Each is an enduring target of jihadi terrorism. Other nations will weaken and fade in the global war on terror. The U.S. and India will not. Each is at immense risk if weapons of mass destruction become instruments of terror. New Delhi and Washington, New York and Mumbai would be prime targets. Each economy needs the continued reliable flow of energy from the Persian Gulf, including through protection of Indian Ocean sea lanes. Each has a huge stake in the peaceful and responsible emergence of China as a great power. Each would be in serious danger if Pakistan with its nuclear weapons and infrastructure of terrorism were to shake apart, succumb to Islamic extremism or again begin to export its nuclear weapons technology.

And each shares the democratic values that are so much on the march these days. When I asked then-Governor Bush in early 1999 about the reasons for his obvious and special interest in India, he immediately responded, "a billion people in a functioning democracy. Isn't that something? Isn't that something?" The concept of democratic India, a heterogeneous, multilingual, secular society with its vibrant press and respect for the rule of law, has a particular appeal for this president.

Moreover, never in the history of the U.S.-India relationship has the State Department's seventh floor had three policy makers with a global orientation toward India. (Usually it has had none.) State today has the secretary herself, Deputy Secretary Robert Zoellick, who was the first Bush cabinet member to visit India in 2001, and Counselor Philip Zelikow, who directed for several years the most prestigious nongovernmental dialogue between the U.S. and Indian strategic elites.

And note what these folks have done after only weeks in office, under the president's guidance and with the strong support of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley. In India, Ms. Rice opened up wide the possibility of U.S.-India cooperation on nuclear power generation; co-production with India of multi-role combat aircraft; intensified collaboration on missile defense and expanded defense trade and cooperation; and a larger role for India in international organizations.

These issues had been the stuff of Washington interagency struggle and stalemate for years. Ms. Rice in New Delhi began to grind down the bureaucratic Etruscan shards.
* * *

So what next for the U.S.-India relationship? What more can be accomplished in the context of Foreign Minister Natwar Singh's talks in Washington next month, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's call at the White House in July, and President Bush's visit to India at the end of this year or early 2006?

The U.S. should integrate India into the evolving global nonproliferation regime as a friendly nuclear weapons state. We should end constraints on assistance to and cooperation with India's civil nuclear industry and high-tech trade, changing laws and policy when necessary. We should sell India civil nuclear reactors, both to reduce its demand for Persian Gulf energy and to ease the environmental impact of India's vibrant economic growth.

We should enter into a vigorous long-term program of space cooperation with India. Such a joint effort would capture the imagination of ordinary citizens in both countries. It is now anachronistic or worse for Washington to limit its interaction with India's civil space efforts because of concern that U.S. technology and know-how will seep into India's military missile program. Why should the U.S. want to check India's missile capability in ways that could lead to China's permanent nuclear dominance over democratic India?

We should sell advanced weaponry to India. The million-man Indian army actually fights, unlike the postmodern militaries of many of our European allies. Given the strategic challenges ahead, the U.S. should want the Indian armed forces to be equipped with the best weapons systems and that often means American. To make this happen, the U.S. has to become a reliable long-term supplier, including through co-production and licensed manufacture arrangements, and to end its previous inclination to interrupt defense supplies to India in a crisis.

We should announce that in the context of the basic reform of the U.N., the U.S. will support India as a permanent member of the Security Council. Although this would not happen for many years, nothing else would so convince the people of India that the U.S. had truly transformed its approach to their country. At the same time, we should promote the early entry of India (and China) into the G-8. Their economic punch and increasing geopolitical reach demands that they be at the head table.

Finally, we should initiate an intense and secret discussion with India regarding the future of Pakistan, including contingency planning.
* * *

India, too, has its share of antique governmental reflexes that need to be overcome. It should now engage in a major way to help build a civil society in Iraq. It should join the U.S. much more actively, if quietly, in trying to persuade Iran to give up its insistence on a full fuel cycle and Tehran's pursuit of nuclear weapons. (This is more important than current U.S.-India differences over a gas pipeline to India from Iran which may well never be built). It should generously fund Palestinian reform. It should become a member of the Proliferation Security Initiative which calls for interdiction of suspicious ships on the high seas. It should multiply its military exercises with American counterparts, including on counter-insurgency.

It should continue its efforts to normalize relations with Pakistan. It should work ever more closely with the U.S. to deal with regional instability emanating from Afghanistan, Nepal and Bangladesh, the latter a growing center of international terrorism. It should substantially reduce barriers to encourage the export of U.S. goods, services and investment to India, in part to deal with the outsourcing problem. It should be a much more cooperative partner with Washington in the Doha trade round.

This is an exceedingly ambitious bilateral agenda. Old bureaucrats don't fade away; they just dig in. So the Bush administration and the Congress government in Delhi must push through these fundamental changes in policy from the top down. It can be done.

Sunday, March 20, 2005

The people of saudi arabia, allies against terrorism

Saudi soldier’s journey to death in Iraq

JEDDAH, Saudi Arabia - Six months ago sergeant Mahmoud al-Harithi resigned from the Saudi military, said goodbye to his wife and two children, and left home for jihad in Iraq.

A family man, the 32-year-old called home regularly. But he said little and resisted pleas for him to return.

“He was looking for martyrdom. No matter who he would fight and no matter where, Afghanistan or Iraq, he was looking to be a martyr,” said one of his cousins, who asked not to be named.

One Friday in late February his father had just finished midday prayers when he noticed two missed calls on his mobile phone. He called back, and heard a curt message telling him that Mahmoud’s wish had been granted.

“Your son is dead. We regret we cannot send you his body. We request your permission to bury him in Iraq,” the voice said.

Harithi followed the same journey as many hundreds of Saudi men who are believed to have slipped away to fight in Iraq, angered by the US military occupation and driven by a desire to restore Muslim honour.

Together with other foreign fighters they have helped fuel a bloody insurgency by Baathists and Islamists trying to force American troops out of the country they invaded two years ago.

From time to time their secret, violent tales become public.

In January, Saudi newspapers reported that a young Saudi man had survived, bloodied and horribly burned, after driving a fuel truck carrying explosives into Baghdad on December 25.

Nine people died when the truck exploded but the militant, Ahmad Shayia, survived and were arrested, the papers said. His family in Saudi Arabia had already had a phone call telling them he was dead.

Iraq jihad

Harithi had a pious upbringing and attended meetings regularly at his local mosque after sunset prayers.

His family does not know exactly what prompted him to take up arms in Iraq, although he may well have been inspired by rhetoric at the mosque, and they begged him to reconsider. His father even told the Saudi authorities where his son was.

“He kept calling from Iraq. He said: ’I’m in Iraq. I’m on jihad’,” said the cousin. “They asked him to come back but he said he was afraid of being punished by the government.”

His family, who were not told where or how Mahmoud died, accepted condolences for the traditional three day period of mourning. “They were upset but they appeared proud their son had fought in Iraq,” said the cousin.

Saudi authorities have tried to stem the flow of jihadis heading for Iraq, tightening control at the border.

“There are tens of Saudis in jail because either they wanted to go to Iraq, were caught trying to get in or were collecting money for people going to Iraq,” said Mansour Nogaidan, a former militant who is now a critic of Saudi Arabia’s strict Wahhabi school -- blamed by some for inspiring anti-Western violence.

Militants have found other routes, mostly through Syria. Recent successes by Saudi security forces in their battle with Al Qaeda militants may have pushed more fighters towards Iraq.

One senior Saudi security official recently told a private gathering there may now be 1,500 Saudis in Iraq, Nogaidan said.

Fares Houzam, a researcher on Al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia, said he estimated up to 2,500 Saudis have travelled to Iraq since the US invasion in March 2003, 400 of whom may have died there.

“Every day somewhere in Saudi Arabia, in the north or the south, there is a family accepting condolences,” he said.

Saudi officials decline to say how many fighters may have slipped across into Iraq, but suggest numbers are much lower.

Sending more martyrs

Saleh al-Awfi, the suspected leader of Al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia, has pledged to despatch more Saudis to Iraq.

“We will send you fighters and martyrdom seekers whenever you need them and you will find us a fortified castle and a strong shield,” Awfi wrote in a letter posted on the Internet.

Prominent Saudi Muslim scholars have stoked the fires, declaring support in November for the militants and saying holy war against occupiers was a duty. The statement, signed by 26 scholars, urged Muslims to “stand by their brothers in Iraq”.

Almost a generation ago, the government was also actively helping Saudis to join Muslim mujahideen in another jihad -- to expel Soviet forces from Afghanistan.

One man who heeded their call was the young Osama bin Laden.

When Soviet forces finally withdrew, bin Laden and other ”Afghan Arabs” began to look further afield. Many returned to their own countries, inspiring insurgents from Egypt to Algeria.

Saudi officials fear returning militants from Iraq could spell further trouble in the birthplace of Islam, where Al Qaeda supporters have carried out a series of attacks aimed at scaring away Westerners and undermining the pro-US royal family.

Islamist lawyer Mohsen Awajy said most Saudi militants in Iraq had “one-way tickets” and would most likely die there. But if any came back they could bring with them the more violent ideology of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, Al Qaeda leader in Iraq.

“We are quite concerned about those who may return after the end of the conflict in Iraq with a new ideology even worse than the ideology which came from Afghanistan”.

Photo courtesy: rnw.nl

Pakistani suicide bomber arrested in Afghanistan

Pakistani suicide bomber arrested

KHOST: A suspected Pakistani suicide bomber who planned to target foreign troops and senior Afghan officials has been arrested in Afghanistan’s Khost province, officials said on Sunday.

“We arrested a Pakistani, Shahbaz, on Friday near Khost city after a tip off that some foreign suicide bombers have entered the province,” Khost border forces commander Almar Gul Mangal said.

“Shahbaz has confessed coming to Afghanistan with a five-member group four days prior to his arrest and was looking for coalition and high-ranking Afghan targets to carry out suicide attacks,” Mangal said.

Shahbaz had lived in Sialkot. He was arrested in the Zirai Tarkha area, 2 kilometres west of Khost city. The US-led coalition forces have a base at Khost airport. The suicide bomber was handed over to coalition forces after primary interrogations by Afghan police, said the commander.

A coalition spokesman was not immediately available for comment.

“The bomber speaks fluent Punjabi, Urdu and Pashto. He had a 2,300 UAE Dirham check on him and was arrested in the evening in a mosque,” he said. “We are looking for another four (suspected) bombers who are in Khost province and they might have some Afghan allies as well who have guided them in the province,” he said. afp

More on Pakistani nuclear

U.S. Misled Allies About Nuclear Export

North Korea Sent Material To Pakistan, Not to Libya

In an effort to increase pressure on North Korea, the Bush administration told its Asian allies in briefings earlier this year that Pyongyang had exported nuclear material to Libya. That was a significant new charge, the first allegation that North Korea was helping to create a new nuclear weapons state.

But that is not what U.S. intelligence reported, according to two officials with detailed knowledge of the transaction. North Korea, according to the intelligence, had supplied uranium hexafluoride -- which can be enriched to weapons-grade uranium -- to Pakistan. It was Pakistan, a key U.S. ally with its own nuclear arsenal, that sold the material to Libya. The U.S. government had no evidence, the officials said, that North Korea knew of the second transaction.

Pakistan's role as both the buyer and the seller was concealed to cover up the part played by Washington's partner in the hunt for al Qaeda leaders, according to the officials, who discussed the issue on the condition of anonymity. In addition, a North Korea-Pakistan transfer would not have been news to the U.S. allies, which have known of such transfers for years and viewed them as a business matter between sovereign states.

The White House declined to offer an official to comment by name about the new details concerning Pakistan. A prepared response attributed to a senior administration official said that the U.S. government "has provided allies with an accurate account of North Korea's nuclear proliferation activities."

Although the briefings did not mention Pakistan by name, the official said they made it clear that the sale went through the illicit network operated by Pakistan's top nuclear scientist, Abdel Qadeer Khan. But the briefings gave no indication that U.S. intelligence believes that the material had been bought by Pakistan and transferred there from North Korea in a container owned by the Pakistani government.

They also gave no indication that the uranium was then shipped via a Pakistani company to Dubai in the United Arab Emirates and on to Libya. Those findings match assessments by the International Atomic Energy Agency, which is investigating Libya separately. Libya gave up its nuclear weapons program in December 2003.

Since Pakistan became a key U.S. ally in the hunt for al Qaeda leaders, the administration has not held President Pervez Musharraf accountable for actions taken by Khan while he was a member of Musharraf's cabinet and in charge of nuclear cooperation for the government.

"The administration is giving Pakistan a free ride when they don't deserve it and hurting U.S. interests at the same time," said Charles L. Pritchard, who was the Bush administration's special envoy for the North Korea talks until August 2003.

In testimony to Congress last month, CIA Director Porter J. Goss spoke extensively about North Korea's nuclear arsenal and capabilities. But he gave no indication the intelligence community believed that North Korea had supplied nuclear materials to Libya, that it was capable of producing uranium hexafluoride or that it was a member of the nuclear black market.

Pakistan was mentioned only once in the briefing paper, and in a context that emphasized Pyongyang's guilt. "Pakistani press reports have said the uranium came from North Korea," according to the briefing paper, which was read to The Post.

Reality of the KSE(cont'd)

The bull, the boom and fears of a bust

The rise of the KSE 100 Index has two aspects to it. First is the manner in which it is composed, and, second is the expectation of how major players in this composition are expected to perform in the future. Scores of related issues will play an important role on how this will unfold, but for the time being suffice it to say that we are stuck on the best-scenario assumption.

First the composition. The KSE 100 Index is composed of 100 companies selected on a performance criteria. Experts in the exchange are of the view that this is a highly skewed selection, biased towards the public sector players like the Oil & Gas Corporation, PTCL and PSO. These three are up for privatisation, and the rewards for the winners are going to be massive. Coupled with this is the assumption that once they are in private hands, they will perform even better. This is debatable to say the least, and given that we are a developing country the underlying assumptions of this argument need to be carefully studied.

But even given all these facts, the point remains that once they are privatised, the pickings will be large, and, therefore, investing in them now makes good sense. Lakhani has explained this well by saying: "Billions of rupees have shifted from fixed income instruments, where the returns are very meager, to the stock market, where the returns seem much more attractive". He informs that the savings in fixed income instruments like National Savings or bank fixed income products by 'pensioners, retired employees and senior citizens' are moving towards stocks in attractive scripts. These have a negative effect in that bank deposits have been hit, and that in order to attract depositors bank interest rates are rising, so investment is also becoming costlier. Interest rates have started to shoot up and entrepreneurs are alarmed. This has an inflationary effect, which is multiplier in nature.

So the poor and fixed income population, lets say 90 per cent of the people, have good reason to be worried. In February 2005 alone, the Federal Bureau of Statistics officially informs us, inflation was up by 9.95 per cent. This is very serious stuff, and the politicians in power are definitely trying to shift focus from this aspect of the national life. Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz tried his best to calm his audience in a meeting of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry in Karachi last week by asserting that "business costs are still low in Pakistan compared to our neighbours". Amazing, but then he conceded to his 'shocked audience' that he did not include India in this comparison. Imagine. So much for honesty!

The composition of the KSE 100 Index is skewed enough to make it jump in hundreds once a major shift in share buying takes place in the top five scripts, they being the ones up for grabs in the privatisation process, which it seems will be finalised before September 2005. But the quicker they manage the better it will be for the markets, which after a crazy 'plot mania' have entered a crazier 'stock mania'. It is unsettling to say the least, and tends to disrupt the work that goes into stabilising the major indicators like the foreign reserves level, the export drive, the effort to keep interest rates at a low level, and most importantly, to peg inflation close to four to five per cent mark. It goes without saying that as far as inflation and interest rates go, we are beginning to see emerging failures that will have immense long-term impacts.

The rise and rise of the KSE 100 Index has managed to attract good money in search of quick profits, and this is something we must be wary of. The stock market is a 'very short-term' activity. The big boys move in, invest large sums, make a reasonable profit, and then move out. This is simple economic common sense. For example, if Rs 100 was invested on a Monday, and by Saturday, just five days later, the script climbed to Rs 100 only, it means that in this transaction the investor had made a 100 per cent per annum profit. So if the KSE 100 Index has doubled in just six months, why would not even bigger boys look Pakistan's way?

We have seen the major US entrepreneurs come to Karachi to set up camp, as also have the Chinese. Investment in our telecommunications, mining and other major infrastructure projects is growing at great speed. The chief of Merrill Lynch has been looking around and it is just possible that considerable investments in the stocks of the scripts that are to be privatised will be further picked up. One expert explains: "Before a major picking of the type Pakistan has to offer, in a way our last major assets that are being sold, the tactic is to pick up as much as is possible before a final decision. This will improve the bargaining position of the buyer, who will make a profit on the process itself, let alone the script'. That is why there is considerable sense in what is happening. The problem lies in the fact that there are a lot of entrepreneurs who are just not used to living in an 'unprotected' environment of the sort Pakistan is headed firmly towards. As one expert puts it: "When entrepreneurs become land speculators, no progress is possible. But they will be left far behind. After the KSE surge is over, land prices will fall no matter what the speculators say. They are already beginning to fall slowly. Now money must move to where the better profits exist, and that is in sensible enterprises run by professionals".

But this begs the questions 'what will happen after this crazy bullish period is over and the silver is sold to the highest bidder'? The answer simply is 'Nothing'. There will be a series of 'corrections', which mean that the KSE 100 Index will come to its natural position, where external and environmental factors will take over. This is only natural. Classical case studies of similar time periods on other nations shows that it depends on the degree of 'good governance' that is in place. The State Bank of Pakistan and, more importantly, the SECP have a major role to play in the days ahead. The former has to regulate the economy to keep interest rates and inflation under very firm control, to allow the economy to surge ahead, while the SECP has to make sure that businesses are run as tight ships. Here the role of government is critical. Investments in massive infrastructural works will have to take place if we are to grow at a two digit pace, which is the only way we will manage to remain competitive.

Saturday, March 19, 2005

Shias butchered(again)

Blast in Pakistan Kills 15, Injures 25

By NASEER KAKAR, Associated Press Writer

QUETTA, Pakistan - A powerful bomb exploded Saturday at a gathering of minority Shiite Muslims in a remote town in southwestern Pakistan, killing at least 15 people and wounding 25 others, police said.



Thousands of worshippers had congregated at the shrine of a Shiite saint near the town of Naseerabad, about 210 miles south of Quetta, when the bomb went off outside, said Merab Khan, a local police official.

It was not immediately known who was behind the blast. Police said they were investigating.

"Right now people are angry. They are wailing and crying. Some of them have blocked roads in the town and we are trying to control the situation," Khan told The Associated Press.

Khan said the bodies and injured, some in critical condition, were transported to a nearby hospital. He expected the death toll to rise.

Pakistan has a history of sectarian violence, mostly blamed on rival majority Sunni and minority Shiite extremist groups. About 80 percent of Pakistan's 150 million people are Sunnis and 17 percent Shiites.


Update: The death toll is 50.

50 killed in Jhal Magsi blast

QUETTA (Agencies) - A powerful bomb exploded on Saturday night at a gathering in a remote district in Balochistan, killing at least 50 people and wounding 100 others.
The bomb exploded outside the shrine of a saint, Pir Rakhel Shah, at Darbar Fateh Pur in Gandhawa town of district Jhal Magsi. Thousands of worshippers had congregated at the shrine of the saint near the town of Naseerabad, when the bomb went off outside.
Balochistan Liberation Army’s spokesman Daura Khan Baloch has accepted the responsibility of the blast by satellite phone. Police have cordoned off the area and started investigations.
People were found wailing and crying on the place of incident. Some of them also blocked roads in anger.
Some of the bodies and the injured, some in critical condition, were transported to a nearby hospital.

Baloch freedom fight continues

Eight soldiers die in ambush

March 19, 2005 EIGHT soldiers were killed and 23 wounded in a fierce battle with tribal militants in Pakistan's troubled southwest, the military said today, while a tribal politician said dozens of tribesmen died.

Today, a day after the clashes in the southwestern province of Baluchistan, bombs exploded in two trains in the troubled region, killing two people and wounding nine.

Balochistan train blasts kill two

By Justin Huggler and Shiv Malik in Baluchistan

19 March 2005

Pakistan is poised on the precipice of a tribal war in the vast desert province of Baluchistan after the army unleashed helicopter gunships and heavy weapons on local protesters. The Independent has learnt that during two days of violence, more than 60 tribespeople in the region, including women and children, have been killed. Reports suggest the confrontation is becoming increasingly brutal.

US asks for direct access to Aslam Beg

US not finished with Pakistan yet
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - The United States is exerting maximum pressure on Pakistan to provide a detailed and "authentic" list of all of its nuclear cooperation with Iran over the years.

Contacts in the highest echelon of Pakistan's strategic quarters tell Asia Times Online that during her visit to Islamabad on Wednesday, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice appraised Pakistan of the latest - and strong - US demands.

Many in the Bush administration believe that Iran's nuclear energy program is a smokescreen for developing nuclear weapons. Tehran has agreed with the European Union and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that it will temporarily suspend its uranium enrichment program.

Last week, Pakistan publicly admitted that Dr Abdul Qadeer Khan, the mastermind of the country's nuclear program, had given centrifuges - rather than just blueprints - to Iran as part of a package of materials that could be used to make a nuclear bomb, but only in "his personal capacity". Centrifuges are used to enrich uranium.

Now the US wants hard evidence of this and all of Pakistan's other dealings so that it can build its case against Iran. This will include full scrutiny of Pakistan's nuclear program, especially from the late 1980s until the early 1990s, when Pakistan developed the nuclear device, which it eventually tested in 1998.

Importantly, and to the consternation of Pakistan, the US demand includes direct access and interrogation of Pakistan's former chief of army staff, General Aslam Beg, who has on many occasions openly endorsed nuclear cooperation with Iran, former president Ghulam Ishaq Khan (August 17, 1988 until July 18, 1993) and Dr Khan.

The exhaustive US demand has sent shock waves through General Headquarters Rawalpindi. To date, the belief had been that Pakistan's cooperation has been sufficient to avoid people like Dr Khan from being handed over.

The contacts tell ATol that the initial reaction in Rawalpindi is that the requested people will not be placed in the hands of US interrogators. It is not known what "inducements" Washington is offering Islamabad for its cooperation, or, conversely, what stick it is waving for not cooperating. Pakistan has for a long time wanted F-16 fighters from the US, especially since India is reported to also be in the market, and already receives financial and other US military aid for collaborating in the "war on terror".

"The [Pakistan proliferation] issue is of such critical importance that as soon as it broke out [last year], the Pakistani leadership decided at once what to do. They placed Dr Khan under house arrest so that nobody could meet him. After completely isolating Dr Khan, Pakistan extended all cooperation to the US, which was of value to the US and to its satisfaction," a top strategic expert maintained.

"But US interrogation of personalities like Ghulam Ishaq Khan, A Q Khan and General Beg will mean a complete exhibition and access to all strategic secrets and would be tantamount to compromising Pakistan's integrity," the expert said.

"Now, though, the US means business and it is collecting evidence [against Iran] which Pakistan is meant to provide. But the US has been asked to submit its queries concerning proliferation, and they will get a reply through Pakistani channels. Inquiries are continuing by Pakistani officials with all concerned officials, including General Beg, and their answers are being submitted to the US. It will continue in the future as well.

"You can match the situation with the South Waziristan operation. At the start, the US was convinced through its intelligence that all high-value targets [such as Osama bin Laden] were holed up in South Waziristan [tribal region]. Washington urged Pakistan to allow US troops to operate in the terrain to win the 'war on terror' once and for all. However, from the beginning Pakistan drew a line on its cooperation under which it fully cooperated in the hunt for militants and in defeating pro-Taliban and al-Qaeda elements, but it refused to allow US troops to operate in Pakistani territory, though on occasions Pakistan turned a blind eye on US advancement in its territory," he added.

Pakistan is obviously extremely sensitive about the proliferation and black market side of its nuclear program - which it still insists was carried by individual elements without the knowledge of the establishment.

The public saga of Pakistan's nuclear program began some years ago at the wedding ceremony of then editor of the Muslim, Islamabad, Mushahid Hussain, a journalist-turned-politician and now general secretary of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League.

He introduced Dr Khan to a senior Indian journalist, Kuldeep Nayyer. Thinking that he was speaking off the record, Dr Khan briefed Kuldeep, only to his horror - and to that of the establishment - to then read a full article on Pakistan's nuclear program.

As a result, Dr Khan was given the same security and protocol as the president of Pakistan.

But once Pakistan acquired nuclear capability, Dr Khan's security situation became lax and and he was allowed to move around and make statements in public, and even travel outside the country.

"It was a fact that he was elevated as a celebrity in the country, and even for generals he was the heroic figure who equipped them with deterrence against Indian military might," one strategic expert told ATol.

This hero-worship backfired. A classified interrogation report of Khan Research Laboratories' (KRL) security chief, Brigadier Tajwar, accepted that he knew about the movement of centrifuges outside KRL, but he dare not stop Dr Khan and ask about the purpose of the transportation. Pakistan's nuclear program was mostly developed at KRL.

Friday, March 18, 2005

Rambus opens design center in Bangalore, India

Rambus opens design center in Bangalore, India



BANGALORE, India — Memory interface licensing company Rambus Inc. opened a design center here Thurdsday (Mar. 17), aimed at expanding its design operations and better serving its customers in Asia, who account for half the company's sales.

With 10 engineers now, the center is to be scaled up to 50 by the year-end, the company said. This center would start with a focus on developing cells and cores based on the company's technologies in the areas of PCI Express and DDR2 memory controller designs before taking on work in Fiber Channel and Serial accoridng to Samir Patel, vice president of the memory interface division at Rambus (Los Altos, Calif.). The Bangalore center is the third design center for the company.

"We always wanted a design center in Asia," said Rambus chairman Geoff Tate. Other sites considered were in Taiwan, Japan and China but the talent pool in Bangalore and its English-speaking skills helped decide the matter, Tate said. Another Indian city, Pune, was also in the race but lost out on the availability engineers, he added. "We may have other design centers in Asia at some point in time," Tate said.

Rambus, which in the past had outsourced circuit layout tasks to firms in India, would continue to do so, the company said. It is also looking at partnerships with premier engineering institutes here for joint research later on.

Thursday, March 17, 2005

Pakistani Army uses helicopter gunships against Baloch civilians

FC and tribes battle in Dera Bugti

QUETTA: The Frontier Corps (FC) and Bugti tribesmen battled each other near Sangsela in Dera Bugti on Thursday with Bugti chief Nawab Akbar Bugti claiming that 50 civilians including women and children were killed by FC shooting while an FC spokesman said five FC personnel were killed and at least 19 were injured.

Government officials did not confirm the FC death toll, but said at least five FC personnel were injured and that Bugti tribesmen had laid siege to about 40 FC personnel including Bhambhor Rifles Commandant Col Rafaqat and Dera Bugti District Coordination Officer Abdul Samad Lasi.

Sources said the FC called in gunship helicopters for support and used heavy weapons against the tribesmen. The FC spokesman also said regular army personnel had been called in to help rescue the besieged personnel. He said the gunships had returned after being shot at during the battle. He also expressed ignorance about the claims made by Akbar Bugti on the number of civilian casualties.

Sources also said the FC targeted localities including the Hindu Mohalla (neighbourhood) and it was feared that the number of casualties would increase. Nothing could be confirmed yet because communications in the area had been severed a couple of weeks ago. Sui’s telephone exchange had also been razed to the ground two weeks ago and not repaired.

Akbar Bugti claimed that a rocket hit one of his rooms in the morning. He said the FC was targeting civilian areas in the city and he feared many had been killed and injured. He also said he had information of regular army personnel being moved from Quetta and Sui to the area. He said the FC had targeted Hindu Mohalla, where the Hindu community lived, and many people were reportedly killed. The government had started a full-fledged military operation in Balochistan, Akbar Bugti added. “They’ve started and we’ll see who’ll finish this game,” he said by satellite phone from Dera Bugti.

Intelligence sources reported at least 16 Bugti tribesmen were killed in clashes, but officials said they could not immediately confirm the casualties as fighting was continuing. FC Col Rizwan Malik said the fighting began after Bugti tribesmen shot at pickup trucks carrying FC personnel in the mountains of Sangsela near Dera Bugti, injuring four troops.

Security officials said about 40 paramilitary forces were surrounded by the tribesmen at Sangsela and helicopter gunships and regular army personnel had been deployed to rescue them. Col Malik said five more soldiers were injured when a convoy of the reinforcements came under attack, and two rescue helicopters were unable to land. Four of the injured soldiers were in serious condition, he added.

Meanwhile, a base housing troops in Dera Bugti town came under heavy rocket and mortar fire, reportedly triggering fighting between tribesmen and soldiers inside the town, and causing fatalities.

Balochistan Chief Minister Jam Yousaf told the Balochistan Assembly that the fighting started at 9:30am when Bugti tribesmen fired at an FC convoy. He played down the fighting, saying firing had stopped and FC personnel had secured the area.

Reports from the province stated that the army had been put on high alert and a major operation was likely to start soon.

Interior Minister Aftab Khan Sherpao said no military action was going on in the Dera Bugti area and that the government was not planning to start such an operation.

Meanwhile, FC Inspector General Shujaat Zameer Dar and Balochistan Home Minister Shoaib Nausherwani told a press conference that there was no military operation happening in Dera Bugti and that the FC was only defending itself against indiscriminate fire.

The FC IG said an FC convoy was attacked, killing three and injuring nine personnel. The FC then retaliated, shooting in the direction from where the attack originated, he said when asked why the FC shot at civilians. The FC had thrice asked the tribesmen to cease fire, but they did not respond, he said, adding that even tribal representatives were asked to stop the shooting, but they might have lacked a communications network. He claimed that a ceasefire came into place by about 8:00pm. Shoaib Nausherwani said it attack was planned by people wanting to sabotage the negotiation process.


Update: No military operation in Balochistan, NA told

Ok then...

A note about H.R. 1950 in the CRS review of Pakistan US relations

Document here

In July 2003, the Foreign Relations Authorization Act, FY2004-2005 (H.R. 1950) was
passed by the House. Section 709 of the Act would require the President to report to
Congress on actions taken byIslamabad to close terrorist camps in Pakistan-controlled areas, prohibit the infiltration of militants at the Kashmiri Line of Control, and cease the transfer of WMD or related technologies to any third parties. Many Pakistanis held the “India lobby” responsible for the legislation of “conditions” on future U.S. aid to Pakistan. When considered alongside a seniorWhite House official’s June assertion that long-term U.S. aid requires that the United States be “satisfied” with Pakistan’s progress on nonproliferation, anti-terrorism, and democratization — and a July letter to President Bush signed by 16 Members of Congress outlining their concerns on these same issues—the legislation is seen to reflect ongoing congressional attention to developments in Pakistan, and also has renewed Pakistani worries about the reliability of U.S. pledges of assistance.

Wednesday, March 16, 2005

IS the USAF strafing the Pakistani Army?

A troubled border

By A.R. Siddiqi

Events in Balochistan have overshadowed the recent incident on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. An ISPR press release on the incident described it as of a 'minor tactical nature'.

It advised the media to avoid blowing up such incidents 'out of proportion' and that it could not be 'portrayed' as a clash between Pakistan and Afghan forces.

The ISPR version in effect dismissed reports of an extended exchange of small arms and long-range artillery and mortar fire and of an actual 'clash' between the two forces, unintended or planned, as a matter of little consequence.

A spokesman for the 18,000-strong US-led coalition forces in Afghanistan attributed the incident to a 'misunderstanding' between the two forces deployed eyeball-to- eyeball at the time of the occurrence. He denied any involvement of US-led forces fighting Taliban and Al Qaeda militants. But what remains unclear is whether the episode was just an exchange of fire or an actual engagement. While an exchange of fire, light or heavy, between two forces involved in a prolonged stand-off can perhaps be ignored as a 'minor tactical' occurrence, an actual (physical) clash even at platoon level can hardly be treated lightly.

A foreign office statement had urged the US military to investigate what it described as the 'unprovoked fatal' mortar attack in the Shigai tribal zone of North Waziristan.

The expression 'targeted fire' was also used in certain press reports of the incident. The shifting of emphasis from an episode of 'minor tactical nature' to the foreign office version of the attack as 'unprovoked' and 'fatal' needs to be noted.

The reported Afghan version of the event was blunt in verbiage and offensive in content. According to the AFP, an Afghan border security commander squarely blamed Pakistan for firing the first shot.

The Pakistani militia, he said, wanted to 'cross' the border and 'enter' Afghanistan, when the Afghan militia retaliated and stopped the Pakistani advance into Afghan territory.

He went on to accuse Pakistan of showing little respect for international rules. If the spokesman has been correctly reported, this is a serious allegation to make as a responsible neighbour.

Another statement attributed to an Afghan militia commander, Gen. Khalil Baz, was even more ominous in tone and threatening in terms of action, and contemplated the reinforcement of forces along the border with Pakistan.

The Afghan commander was said to be 'rushing extra troops' to the border with Pakistan to 'cope with any untoward situation'. In support of a fresh force build- up, he quoted reports about Pakistani troops moving towards the 'uneasy border'.

Whereas there is no need to project a border skirmish out of all proportion, it would be quite wrong to dismiss it as a solitary incident. This is a link in the long chain of such border clashes in the on-again, off-again relations between the two countries.

The US role in the incident had been ambivalent, even insidiously provocative. Certain Pakistani intelligence sources claimed that a US helicopter 'opened fire' on our troops while they were busy collecting the debris of a crashed US drone that had crashed.

Also, some US 'war-planes' were scrambled to rush to the area and calm down - buzz? - the two sides. A somewhat strange way of helping and assisting allies and partners in the joint campaign against terrorism.

- The writer is a retired brigadier of the Pakistan Army.

Islamabad may get 24 F-16s, Delhi 125

Islamabad may get 24 F-16s, Delhi 125

From Our Correspondent
ISLAMABAD - US Secretary of State of State Condoleezza Rice is expected to signal US willingness to sell Lockheed Martin Corp’s F-16 fighter jest to both Pakistan and India when she visits the region this week, The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.
The tentative plans call for the US to sell Pakistan about two dozen of the aircraft, while India could buy as many as 125, the Journal reported, citing US officials and others with knowledge of the matter. “We’re going to talk to India and Pakistan about our expanding security and defence relationship, but we’re not planning any announcement during this trip,” a senior State Department official traveling with Rice said.

Tuesday, March 15, 2005

Pakistan Reviving Nuclear Black Market, Experts Say

March 15, 2005

Pakistan Reviving Nuclear Black Market, Experts Say

By REUTERS

Filed at 7:29 a.m. ET

VIENNA (Reuters) - Pakistan has developed new illicit channels to upgrade its nuclear weapons program, despite efforts by the U.N. atomic watchdog to shut down all illegal procurement avenues, diplomats and nuclear experts said.

Western diplomats familiar with an investigation of the nuclear black market by the U.N.'s Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said this news was disturbing.

While Pakistan appeared to be shopping for its own needs, the existence of some nuclear black market channels meant there were still ways for rogue states or terrorist groups to acquire technology that could be used in atomic weapons, they said.

``General procurement efforts (by Pakistan) are going on. It is a determined effort,'' a diplomat from a member of the 44-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) told Reuters on condition of anonymity.

``This was discussed at an NSG meeting in Vienna last week.''

Nuclear experts said these channels involved new middlemen who had not played a role in earlier deals which came to light last year.

``These are not the same people. They're new, which is worrying,'' said one Western diplomat.

Pakistan is subject to sanctions against its atomic arms program as it has not signed the 1968 global nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

Pakistan first successfully tested a nuclear weapon in 1998 and remains under a strict embargo by the NSG, whose members include the world's major producers of nuclear-related equipment, such as the United States, Russia and China.

A diplomat from another NSG country that is a producer of technology usable in weapons programs said his country's customs agents were not surprised. ``Our people are well aware of Pakistan's efforts to upgrade its centrifuge program.''

Asked if Pakistan was using the black market to upgrade its facilities, Foreign Ministry spokesman Jalil Abbas Jilani said in Islamabad: ``To be honest, I don't have an update on that.''

``Pakistan's nuclear capability is a reality which has to be reconciled, and obviously in order to maintain its capability Pakistan would make all the preparations,'' he added.

The black market will be a major topic of discussion at the NPT review conference in New York in May, where IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei hopes to rally support for a plan to patch up loopholes in the pact against the spread of nuclear arms.

FRONT COMPANIES AND MIDDLEMEN

Like nuclear-armed India and presumed atomic power Israel, who also remain outside the NPT, Pakistan has long been forced to use the black market to supply its atomic weapons program.

This was why Abdul Qadeer Khan, the disgraced scientist who built Pakistan's nuclear weapons program and whose role was revealed in 2003, set up a clandestine procurement network with front companies and middlemen who duped manufacturers across the globe into thinking purchases of sensitive dual-use items were intended for civilian purposes.

Khan later used this network to supply Iran, which says its nuclear program is entirely peaceful, and Libya, which got the same type of technology as Iran but said it was for a covert bomb program that was fully dismantled last year. It was unclear if Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice would bring up the issue during her visit this week to Pakistan, a key ally in Washington's fight against global terrorism.

Non-U.S. diplomats and experts said Washington was not putting enough pressure on Pakistan.

``Some countries seem to have forgotten that Pakistan's procurement is not legitimate,'' said David Albright, a nuclear expert and former U.N. weapons inspector.

The diplomats said national authorities had intercepted some of Pakistan's attempted purchases, including high-strength aluminum for gas centrifuges used to make atomic fuel.

Albright, who heads the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), a U.S. think-tank, said a warning was issued last year that Pakistan would be shopping globally.

``A European country gave out a warning about a year ago that Pakistan had funding to renovate its nuclear weapons complex and would use Malaysia as a false end-use location,'' Albright said.

The IAEA began investigating Khan's network in 2003 after it discovered Iran had enrichment technology identical to Pakistan.

Since that time, the IAEA and its member countries have been trying to shut down network of Khan, who remains under house arrest in Pakistan. The United States, Germany, South Africa and Malaysia have arrested individuals linked to the network.

While Khan may no longer be running it, Joe Cirincione, director of non-proliferation at the U.S.-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said the black market was still alive.

``The network hasn't been shut down,'' he said. ``It's just gotten quieter. Perhaps it's gone a little deeper underground.''