Monday, November 27, 2006

Falling textile exports: Major textile exporters not to attend fair in Germany

‘Major textile exporters not to attend fair in Germany’

Staff Report

LAHORE: Major textile exporters are not attending in prominent Textile Fair – Heimtextil in Germany January 2007 – and many among participants have reduced their stall sizes in view of continuous decline in textile exports and uncompetitive prices of Pakistani products, said Rana Arif Tauseef, former Chairman Pakistan Textile Exporters Association (PTEA).

In a press statement, he further stated that Indian exporters were taking the stalls vacated by Pakistani exporters and it would be first time that cheaper Indian exports would be contesting the costly Pakistani products side by side. He expressed apprehensions that this would render a severe setback to Pakistani exports and the country would lose its traditional export market. He said that the textile exports in the country were continuously declining over the last 15 months from July 2005.

The declining trend has overflowed in current fiscal year, as the textile exports from July-October, 2006 period are $ 3.2 billions against same period July-October, 2005 exports $ 3.5 billions reflecting a decline of 9.11%.

Sunday, November 26, 2006

Pakistani officials admit: US carried out madrasah bombing

US carried out madrasah bombing

THE bombing of a Pakistani madrasah last month, in which 82 students were killed, was carried out by the United States, a Pakistani official has admitted, writes Christina Lamb.

The madrasah in the tribal agency of Bajaur was bombed during a visit to Pakistan by the Prince of Wales amid allegations that it was being used to train suicide bombers.



“We thought it would be less damaging if we said we did it rather than the US,” said a key aide to President Pervez Musharraf. “But there was a lot of collateral damage and we’ve requested the Americans not to do it again.”

The Americans are believed to have attacked after a tip-off that Ayman al-Zawahiri, the deputy leader of Al-Qaeda, was present. Local people claimed the victims included boys as young as 12 and that the tribal area had been negotiating with the Pakistan government for a peace deal.

Pakistani officials insist they were shown satellite images of people training and have checked the identity cards of all those killed, and that all were adults.

British Terror Trial Traces a Path to Militant Islam(and Pakistan)

November 26, 2006

British Terror Trial Traces a Path to Militant Islam

LONDON, Nov. 25 — More than half a ton of ammonium nitrate fertilizer suitable for making bombs was locked in a rented storage warehouse. A cookie tin of aluminum powder was hidden behind a garden shed. Young British Muslims underwent military training at guerrilla camps in remote parts of Pakistan. Suspects, surreptitiously taped by the police, talked about bombing targets in Britain.

Enter a computer technician in Canada experimenting with remote-controlled detonation devices and a collaborator-turned-informer from Queens testifying about secret meetings with operatives of Al Qaeda.

For eight months, the tale of the Operation Crevice Seven has been unfolding in a cramped, windowless courtroom in the Old Bailey in London.

On trial are seven men, ages 19 to 34, six of them with family roots in Pakistan. Arrested in 2004, they are charged with involvement in a criminal conspiracy to make explosives to commit murder, allegations that they all deny. Their target, the authorities say, was unclear — a nightclub, perhaps, or a shopping mall, public utilities, a British airliner or even the House of Commons.

But investigators say the evidence reveals the workings of the kind of cell most feared by officials in Europe. Young Muslims, radicalized by local imams and trained at military camps in Pakistan with vague connections to Al Qaeda, plan an attack at home with help from outside terrorists.

The July 7, 2005, London transit bombings and the alleged London-based plot uncovered last August to blow up airliners also involved disaffected British youths of Pakistani descent, some of whom had traveled to Pakistan for family visits, study and perhaps training.

In a speech this month, Dame Eliza Manningham-Buller, the director general of the British security service known as MI5, disclosed that intelligence officers were watching 1,600 people “who are actively engaged in plotting, or facilitating, terrorist acts here and overseas.”

She said they had identified nearly 30 plots that “often have links back to Al Qaeda in Pakistan and through those links Al Qaeda gives guidance and training to its largely British foot soldiers here.” She said other countries — Spain, France, Canada and Germany — faced similar threats.

Dame Eliza’s comments echo concerns among intelligence officials throughout Europe that remnants of Al Qaeda’s network, disrupted after Sept. 11, were reconstituting in the tribal areas on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.

The Crevice defendants deny they were a conspiratorial cell. Some admit to training in Pakistan but insist they had a goal other than attacking Britain, notwithstanding the fertilizer stored near London. They said they supported jihad in Afghanistan and the liberation of Kashmir, a disputed area between Pakistan and India.

One defendant, Salahuddin Amin, a 31-year-old part-time taxi driver from Luton, testified Tuesday that he started donating money to help Kashmir in 1999. Then he moved to Pakistan in 2001 and became a conduit directing assistance from Britain to Afghan refugees in Pakistan, he said.

But prosecutors charge that Mr. Amin, who knew some of the other Crevice defendants from Britain, became a link between them and militants in Pakistan. They said he and others attended a two-day course in Pakistan to learn to make fertilizer-based explosives. In videotaped confessions to the British police after his arrest in 2005, he admitted being “mixed up with terrorists” and said he provided a formula for explosives to one of his co-defendants through an Internet chat room.

On the witness stand, Mr. Amin proclaimed his innocence, saying he confessed only after being jailed for 10 months in Pakistan, where he said he was beaten and threatened with a whirring electric drill. “I would never take part in plots like that,” he testified.

Heeding the Call to Jihad

Omar Khyam, 24, considered by prosecutors to be the ringleader of the group, began his journey to extremism as a teenager in Crawley, just south of London.

Mr. Khyam, a standout cricket player, planned to study electrical engineering in college, but when he was 16 he began spending time with members of Al Muhajiroun, a radical group active in Crawley and dedicated to a global Islamic community under Shariah, the legal code based on the Koran. The group, led by Omar Bakri Mohammed, is now banned in Britain.

Two years later, instead of preparing for his high school exams, Mr. Khyam ran away, leaving a note saying he was off to join Islamic freedom fighters in Kashmir.

His uncle told a British newspaper that ran an article in 2000 about Mr. Khyam’s sudden departure that his nephew had been indoctrinated by Al Muhajiroun. Mr. Khyam’s family persuaded him to return home, but not before he had attended a training camp.

“They taught me everything I needed for guerrilla warfare in Kashmir, AK47s, pistols, RPGs, sniper rifles, climbing and crawling techniques, reconnaissance and light machine guns,” Mr. Khyam testified in the Crevice trial in September.

After enrolling in college in Britain, Mr. Khyam returned to Pakistan in 2001 for a friend’s wedding and crossed into Afghanistan to meet members of the Taliban movement before it was overthrown after 9/11. “They were soft, kind and humble, but harsh with their enemies,” he recalled in court.

Meanwhile, in Luton, a town on the other side of London and another center of Al Muhajiroun recruitment, Mr. Amin also heeded the call to jihad.

His videotaped confessions to the police tell the story of his rejection of his Western way of life, his turn to prayer and the rules of Islam and his political radicalization.

It was in a Luton prayer center that he first met some of the men accused of being Crevice conspirators, including Mr. Khyam and a man accused of being a Qaeda operative, Abu Munthir, who was visiting from Pakistan.

Videos showing the slaughter of Muslims in Chechnya and Bosnia jolted Mr. Amin into sending money to “freedom fighters” in Kashmir to buy arms and ammunition. The lectures of the radical Muslim cleric Abu Hamza al-Masri at the Finsbury Park mosque in London shortly before 9/11 and the American-led invasion of Afghanistan helped persuade him that he should join the Afghan fight.

Two months after 9/11, Mr. Amin sold his house in Luton and went to Pakistan in search of training with militants, according to his confessions. The prosecution argues that over the next three years, Mr. Amin, Mr. Khyam and their associates entered a hidden world of terrorism with tentacles on three continents.

Secrecy was maintained by using aliases and coded language. Cellphone conversations were avoided. Rather than using e-mail messages, communications were passed through Internet chats or by electronic messages stored for others to pick up later with passwords. Computer hard drives and cellphone SIM cards were discarded and replaced often.

The prosecution’s guide through that world was a Pakistani-American named Mohammed Junaid Babar, who said he worked for the New York chapter of Al Muhajiroun.

Defense lawyers portray Mr. Babar as a fabricator and possibly an agent for the United States government. “You are a liar, a deceitful, self-centered, arrogant fantasist,” Michel Massih, a lawyer for one of the defendants, told Mr. Babar during cross-examination last April.

Mr. Babar acknowledged having lied when first questioned by the F.B.I. He pleaded guilty in New York in June 2004 to providing material support for terrorists, and he said in court that he was testifying against the Crevice suspects to reduce his sentence.

Yet during 17 days on the witness stand, Mr. Babar, the star witness for the prosecution, told a riveting story.

A militant networker, Mr. Babar said he moved to Pakistan in November 2001 with money and instructions from Al Muhajiroun. A year later, on a fund-raising trip to London, Mr. Babar said, he first met members of what he called the “Crawley lot,” including Mr. Khyam and Anthony Garcia, an Algerian-born aspiring fashion model who had changed his name and is now accused of purchasing the secreted fertilizer.

Mr. Babar said Mr. Khyam told him that he and other “brothers” from Crawley were not just a local operation but reported to a man called Abdul Hadi, described by Mr. Khyam as the “No. 3” in Al Qaeda.

In mid-2003, the prosecution said, the Crevice suspects began coming together in Pakistan where Mr. Babar’s home in Lahore was a haven for young, radical Britons of Pakistani descent.

Bomb-related equipment like detonators, fertilizer and aluminum powder that can be used to fuel an explosion, and beans to make the poison ricin were stored in a bedroom cupboard, he said. The backyard was used for small-scale experiments with explosives, including the detonation of a spice jar packed with chemicals.

Mr. Amin, meanwhile, was living close by. He said in his police confessions that he had been collecting money and materials for fighters in Afghanistan and passing them on to the man accused of being a Qaeda operative, Abu Munthir, who had once visited the Luton prayer center.

When Mr. Khyam arrived in Pakistan in 2003, hoping to train to fight in Afghanistan, he was told there were enough fighters there, according to Mr. Amin’s confessions. Instead, Abu Munthir sent word that if he was really serious, he should “do something” in Britain, Mr. Amin told the police.

Later that year, Mr. Khyam, Mr. Amin and another man traveled to a safe house in Kohat, Pakistan, for two days of training in making explosives, including fertilizer bombs, Mr. Amin said. Mr. Khyam then organized a session in the mountains around Malakand near the Afghan border, allegedly to teach others what he had learned.

Mr. Khyam and a core group of three other Crevice suspects, including Mr. Babar, made their way there by posing as Western tourists looking to visit lakes and glaciers.

Mr. Babar said one of the men he brought along was a Canadian named Mohammed Momin Khawaja, a computer engineer, now 27, who is accused of being the detonator-maker in the plot.

Mr. Babar recalled in court that the first test with fertilizer-based explosives failed; the second was moderately successful.

“It created a U in the ground,” Mr. Babar testified. “It went down, sideways and back up the other way.” The group videotaped the scene, he added, hoping to produce a “a minimovie-type thing” with Koranic verses or songs, to inspire others.

If Mr. Babar is to be believed, Mr. Khyam became so determined to carry out an attack in Britain that during this time he also took a 10-day trip to seek more guidance from Qaeda operatives.

Mr. Babar said Mr. Khyam told him that the instructions from Abu Munthir were for “multiple bombings,” either “simultaneously or one after the other on the same day.”

Mr. Babar recalled Mr. Khyam saying that Britain was as responsible as the United States for what was happening in the Middle East and should be attacked. “He said we need to hit certain spots like pubs, nightclubs and trains,” Mr. Babar said.

An Undercover Investigation

Precisely how and when the authorities learned of the group’s activities is unclear, but by early February 2004, they had begun one of Britain’s largest antiterrorist undercover investigations. Operation Crevice, aided by the United States, Canada and Pakistan, involved round-the-clock human surveillance, audio wiretaps in cars and homes and video surveillance.

On Feb. 20, investigators got an extraordinarily lucky break: a suspicious employee at a self-storage warehouse outside of London called the police to report that someone named Nabeel Hussain was storing a large amount of fertilizer.

The police inserted an undercover officer called Amanda as the receptionist and secretly replaced the fertilizer with a benign substance. A hidden camera was installed and filmed Mr. Khyam when he showed up to check the contents.

The police continued to watch and listen, and their 3,500 hours of surveillance tapes are at the core of the prosecution case. Some of the most chilling conversations played in court are between Mr. Khyam, whose Suzuki sport utility vehicle and apartment had been bugged, and Jawad Akbar, 23, a college student whose apartment had been bugged.

In a conversation recorded in February 2004, Mr. Akbar talked of an “easy” target, like a nightclub, “where you don’t need no experience and nothing and you could get a job.” In such a place, he said, “no one can even turn round and say, ‘Oh, they were innocent,’ those slags dancing around,” using a slang term for loose women.

When Mr. Khyam asked what he would do if he got a job at a place like the Ministry of Sound, London’s largest nightclub, Mr. Akbar replied, “Blow the whole thing up.”

In March, Mr. Khyam talked about a simultaneous attack of Britain’s gas, electricity and water systems.

“The electrics go off so it’s a blackout, and then the gas lot move in and bang,” he said. “Then something goes wrong with the water, a simultaneous attack.”

In late March, when Mr. Khyam and his younger brother, Shujah Mahmood, 19, also a defendant, bought tickets to fly to Pakistan on April 6, the police feared that an attack in Britain was imminent.

On March 30, 700 police officers raided two dozen locations, shutting down what they suspected was a cell and arresting six of the defendants.

They found the cookie tin containing aluminum powder behind a shed at Mr. Khyam’s family home in Crawley. They also found a dozen CD-ROMs giving detailed plans of Britain’s electricity and gas systems that they charged had been stolen from the National Grid Transco utility company by an employee, Waheed Mahmood. At 34, Mr. Mahmood, a father of four, is the oldest Crevice defendant.

The police seized a list of British synagogues and computer video files containing parts of an explosives handbook and a military training manual. Investigators also found instructions for how to react if contacted by counterterrorism authorities.

Meanwhile, Mr. Khawaja, who had recently returned from visiting Crevice suspects in Britain, was arrested in Canada. Electrical equipment, described by British authorities as remote-control devices that could be connected to bomb detonators, as well as guns and ammunition, were found at his home. He is awaiting trial in Canada, the first suspect to be tried under Canada’s 2001 Antiterrorism Act.

The Prosecution’s Case

Prosecutors acknowledge that they have not been able to identify either a fixed target or a date for an attack, but they do not have to. To win convictions, they only have to prove that the seven defendants conspired to cause an explosion “likely to endanger life” in Britain.

Mr. Khyam, Mr. Garcia and Mr. Hussain are also charged with possessing 600 kilograms, or about 1,320 pounds, of ammonium nitrate fertilizer, and Mr. Khyam and Mr. Mahmood with possessing aluminum powder, in both cases with the intent to use the ingredients to commit an act of terrorism.

In considering the surveillance tapes, defense lawyers argue that their clients may have been doing a lot of talking about deadly chaos, but that it was nothing more than talk. Some of the schemes seemed like fantasy, like injecting poison into beer cans at soccer games. Others were more frightening, if true: Mr. Amin is accused of making inquiries about buying a radioactive “dirty bomb” from the Russian mafia in Belgium.

As in other criminal cases in Britain, some of the evidence against the suspects is not permitted to be disclosed — either to the jury or the public — until the trials are over for fear that juries will be improperly swayed. Even the news media is under a strict order by the judge to avoid revealing certain information about the case.

The evidence presented shows that the radicalization of the defendants began years ago, raising questions about how well the British security services monitored militants in their midst before last year’s transit bombings. The authorities continue to investigate any links between the Crevice defendants and the 2005 bombers, one of whom, the government says, had visited a training camp in Pakistan before the attack.

Investigators closely watch traffic between Britain and Pakistan. But that is a significant challenge with nearly 400,000 visits by residents of Britain to Pakistan in 2004, of an average length of 41 days. And it is even more difficult to determine which, if any, of those visitors are militants following the dangerous route of traveling to Pakistan for indoctrination and training.

“Counterterrorism efforts haven’t been able to penetrate the process of radicalization and recruitment,” said Sajjan M. Gohel, director for international security at the London-based Asia-Pacific Foundation. “For every individual captured or killed, there are at least five more coming down the assembly line.”

Ariane Bernard contributed reporting.

Thursday, November 23, 2006

Textile exports slump by 9.11% in July-October

Textile exports slump by 9.11% in July-October

By Tanveer Ahmed

KARACHI: The export of textile products decreased by 9.11 percent to $3.233 billion during the first four months (July-October) of the current fiscal year 2006-07 against $3.558 billion over the corresponding period of last year.

The export of textile products stood at $783.88 million in October 2006, depicting a negative growth of 5.23 percent over $827.17 million in same month of last financial year whereas it declined by 4.95 percent to export figures of 824.72 million of September 2006.

The updated official figures of the foreign trade for the first four months showed that export of almost all major textile products except cotton yarn registered a negative growth, putting a question mark on the efforts of government to enhance the exports of textile sector, which remained on the downward side since the beginning of the this financial year.

Despite a textile package and research & development (R&D) support, the textile exports could not post growth in the said period, which according to textile exporters is still far less to reduce the high cost of production, which is making the country's textile products uncompetitive in the international market, where its competitors China, India and Bangladesh have a competitive edge because of supplying cheap textile products.

The break-up of export of textile products figures suggests that the export raw cotton declined to 10.97 million in July-October period of 2006-07 against $18.78 million in the same period of previous year, depicting a negative growth of 41.58 percent.

The export of cotton cloth, which was in billion dollar export category in the last financial year decreased to $587.97 million in the said period compared to $721.40 million of export in the same period of last financial year, reflecting a decline of 18.50 percent.

The export of knitwear, which also ranked in the billion-dollar export category in financial year 2005-06, recorded a decline of 3.63 percent in the first four months by standing at $640.50 million compared to $664.63 million.

The export of bedwear, which neared to $ 2 billion in the last financial year, also reflected a negative growth in the first four months of 2006-07. The exports of bedwear stood at $583.71 million in the period under review compared to $723.31 million of same period of last year, registering a decline of 19.30 percent.

The export of readymade garments declined by 7.27 per cent by decreasing to $434.68 million compared to $468.75 million of previous year.

The export of towel declined to $185.60 million compared to $201.49 million, depicting a negative growth of 7.93 percent.

The export of made-up articles (excluding towels and bedwear), declined by 28.94 percent and cotton-carded slumped by 4.44 percent.

On the other hand, the export of cotton yarn posted a growth of 12.91 percent in the first four months and stood at $472.83 million compared to $418.77 million and art, silk and synthetic textile exports were up by 10.24 percent and stood at $79.94 million compared to $72.52 million.

In other export categories, food group posted a gain of 4.66 percent in first four months of current financial, mainly because of huge increase in rice export, which surged by 54.12 percent during the period under review.

The export of petroleum group and coal declined by 20.24 percent and manufacturing group other than textile also decreased by 33.75 percent in first four months.

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Wounded Taliban treated in Pakistan

Wounded Taliban treated in Pakistan
Tim Albone, Quetta
PAKISTAN is allowing Taliban fighters wounded in battles with British and other Nato forces in Afghanistan to be treated at safe houses.

The Sunday Times found Taliban commanders and their fighters recuperating in the city of Quetta last week and moving freely around parts of the city.

In a white-walled compound in the northern suburb of Pashtunabad, more than 30 Taliban were recovering from the bloodiest fighting in Afghanistan since their regime was ousted five years ago.

Dressed in neatly pressed robes with the black turbans and kohl-rimmed eyes typical of the Taliban, they lounged on cushions, sipping green tea and sucking at boiled sweets while laughing at Nato reports that they have sustained heavy casualties.

Among the most defiant was a young commander who had been shot in the calf last month while fighting British troops in Gereshk, a town in the Afghan province of Helmand, and who had returned to Quetta to be treated. “Fighting the British is as easy as eating a loaf of bread from my hand,” he said in a soft voice. “Fighting the British is much easier than the Americans. They have no faith.”

The proof that Taliban are using Quetta for rest and recuperation — if not also for training as widely suspected — is embarrassing for President Pervez Musharraf, who is due to receive Tony Blair, the prime minister, today. Musharraf has long denied claims from the Afghan government that his military intelligence is providing support and safe havens for the Taliban.

He was outraged when Hamid Karzai, the Afghan president, went to Islamabad, the Pakistan capital, last February and presented him with a list of names, addresses and telephone numbers in Quetta of Taliban leaders, including Mullah Omar, the head of the movement. Dismissing this as “nonsense”, Musharraf accused Karzai of being “totally oblivious of what is happening in his own country”.

In New York in September he told the Council on Foreign Relations that Omar had not been in Pakistan since 1995 and was holed up in the Afghan city of Kandahar. “They (the Afghans) have taken a very, very easy course: the scapegoating of Pakistan,” he again insisted in a television interview last week.

Drawn by the British, the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan is more than 1,400 miles of largely mountainous terrain that is hard to monitor, largely lying in lawless tribal areas. These border areas were used as bases by the mujaheddin in their fight against the Russian occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s, and many of the camps and ammunition stores remain.

But there is growing unease in both Washington and Whitehall about how much of the problem is logistical and whose side Pakistan is on. Not a single known Taliban has been arrested in Pakistan apart from a spokesman, Latifullah Hakimi. That came only after British intelligence intercepted his telephone call from Peshawar ordering the execution of a British engineer.

British and American military commanders in Afghanistan are fed up with their men being killed by fighters who slip back across the border where they cannot be followed. General David Richards, the British commander of Nato forces in Afghanistan, flew to Islamabad last month to raise the issue with Musharraf, though he insisted his aim was “co-operation, not confrontation”.

The Foreign Office confirmed that concerns about Pakistan’s position were among the main reasons for Blair’s trip to Islamabad — his third since the September 11 attacks turned Musharraf from a pariah into a key ally.

“We fully understand the tightrope that General Musharraf is walking between extremists and helping the West,” a spokesman said. “We know he is fighting a number of insurgencies within his own borders. But he too has said he is concerned about growing Talibanisation in his own country and our message is we want to help.”

The official expressed frustration at the failure of the Afghan government to produce concrete evidence of Pakistan’s alleged training of the Taliban. “They constantly tell us of videos but we never actually get them.”

Musharraf’s insistence that his country is not a safe haven was undermined, however, by what The Sunday Times saw in an area to which journalists are often denied access.

In the safe house in Quetta, the Taliban fighters seemed relaxed, some reading the Koran, others laughing and discussing recent battles. Several regional commanders were present and confirmed they used Quetta to relax and study out of reach of Nato. Although the men said they were regularly “shaken down” by the police, a bribe of as little as £2 usually resolved the issue.

“We find the fighting fun,” said one, a 38-year-old man from Zabul who commands forces in southeastern Afghanistan. “Jihad against the infidels is more important than studying books. A weak man should fight for three months of the year and study the rest. A strong man should fight for six months.”

Another, who introduced himself by his nom de guerre Mullah Qahramaan (Pashto for hero), said: “When I hear the shout of Allahu Akbar (God is the greatest) at the start of battle, I can’t help myself — I just run towards the enemy.” He had just returned to Quetta, he said, after six months of fighting in Panjwayi where in September Nato launched its biggest offensive against the Taliban.

Nato claims as many as 1,500 Taliban fighters were killed but this has been disputed by the Taliban. On a visit to the battlefield during its final days, no mass graves or bodies were seen.

“If they (Nato) killed 500 Taliban, they should show a grave for only 50 Taliban and I will believe this figure,” said the commander. “But nobody has seen even one grave. We only lost 32 fighters, although they killed a lot of civilians.”

Many of the fighters were vitriolic about the British. “We would speak with the British over the radio,” said Mullah Samat, a young man with bloodshot eyes and a white turban who said he had been fighting in the town of Musa Qala in northern Helmand where British troops were pinned down in a platoon house. “We would say, ‘Death to the British, death to the infidels,’ and they would then say, ‘Death to the Taliban,’ back to us.”

He claimed he was from a group of 300 fighters and insisted that only 10% were hardcore Taliban, educated in madrasahs in Pakistan, while the rest were villagers disillusioned with the Karzai government.

He denied foreigners were involved and claimed an Afghan businessman supported them by setting up a hospital to treat the fighters. “We are not fighting for money, we are fighting for faith and the future of our country,” he said.

“When we saw the British fighting, it was a big shame. They were hiding behind walls.” But he added: “I do feel bad, though, that we are killing the British. They are human and I am especially sad for their families . . . they are dying for no reason, just to occupy a country.”

Water protest

Foreign troops in Afghanistan are spending £30m a year on bottled water while Afghans face starvation this winter because of drought, writes Christina Lamb.

The World Food Programme (WFP) received only a third of the donations it requested this year to feed more than 3m Afghans whose crops have failed. A further 100,000 have been displaced by the fighting.

The WFP is seeking £16m in winter food aid, yet the Afghan government says coalition forces spend almost twice this much a year on importing water, when £500,000 would fund a local bottling plant.

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Exports decline 3.24pc in Oct

Exports decline 3.24pc in Oct

By Mubarak Zeb Khan

ISLAMABAD, Nov 14: Exports of merchandise declined by 3.24 per cent during the first month (October 2006) of the second quarter of the fiscal year 2006-07, over the same month last year.

Official data released here on Tuesday by the Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS) indicated that exports had started declining from the first quarter (July-Oct 2006) of the current fiscal year. This means that exports dipped by 3.85 per cent in July followed by 6.6 per cent in August and 4.53 per cent in September.

Commerce Minister Humayun Akhtar Khan told Dawn that the decrease in export was due to subsidies given to products of Pakistan’s competitors -- India, Bangladesh, China, etc.

Mr Khan said his ministry was conducting the impact analysis product-wise and region-wise to identify the reasons for decline in export of products, particularly the textile items.

The data showed that export in absolute term during July-October 2006 rose by just 1.34 per cent to $5.551 billion as against $5.478 billion last year. The export target is $18.6 billion for the fiscal year 2006-07.

The import declined by 8.33 per cent to $2.131 billion during the first month of the second quarter as against $2.325 billion last year. This decline in imports resulted in lowering the rate of trade deficit by 15 per cent to $849.604 million in October 2006 as against $1 billion in the same month last year.

However, trade deficit of first four months (July-Oct 2006) reached $4.008 billion as against $3.398 billion, an increase of 17.98 per cent. The figure showed that trade deficit was high mainly because of low export growth as the rate of import growth last year was higher than this year.

The widening trade deficit would be more worrisome for the government as it could face serious problems to meet the current account deficit. Last year trade deficit was over $12 billion, which put immense pressure on current account balance but the balance was met with higher remittances by overseas Pakistanis, foreign direct investment and privatisation proceeds.

In reply to a query, the commerce minister said the decline in imports was mainly due to less industrial undertaking. He said that during the past years, credits had helped industries to import machinery and other accessories for expanding their production in the country.

Analysts said imports were declining due to massive reduction in import of machinery by the textile sector, decline in world oil prices and to some extent a fall in raw materials for industrial undertaking.

Pakistan Link Seen in Afghan Suicide Attacks

Pakistan Link Seen in Afghan Suicide Attacks


By CARLOTTA GALL

PESHAWAR, Pakistan, Nov. 13 — Afghan and NATO security forces have recently rounded up several men like Hafiz Daoud Shah, a 21-year-old unemployed Afghan refugee who says he drove across the border to Afghanistan in September in a taxi with three other would-be suicide bombers.

Every case, Afghan security officials say, is similar to that of Mr. Shah, who repeated his story in a rare jailhouse interview with a reporter in Kabul, the Afghan capital. The trail of organizing, financing and recruiting the bombers who have carried out a rising number of suicide attacks in Afghanistan traces back to Pakistan, they say.

“Every single bomber or I.E.D. in one way or another is linked to Pakistan,” a senior Afghan intelligence official said, referring to improvised explosive devices like roadside bombs. “Their reasons are to keep Afghanistan destabilized, to make us fail, and to keep us fragmented.” He would speak on the subject only if not identified.

A senior United States military official based in Afghanistan agreed for the most part. “The strong belief is that recruiting, training and provision of technical equipment for I.E.D.’s in the main takes place outside Afghanistan,” he said. By I.E.D.’s he meant suicide bombers as well. He, too, did not want his name used because he knew his remarks were likely to offend Pakistani leaders.

The charge is in fact one of the most contentious that Afghan and American officials have leveled at the Pakistani leadership, which frequently denies the infiltration problem and insists that the roots of the Taliban insurgency lie in Afghanistan.

The dispute continues to divide Afghan and Pakistani leaders, even as the Bush administration tries to push them toward greater cooperation in fighting the Taliban, whose ranks have swelled to as many as 10,000 fighters this year.

A year ago, roadside bombs and suicide attacks were rare occurrences in Afghanistan. But they have grown more frequent and more deadly. There have been more than 90 suicide attacks in Afghanistan this year. In September and October, nearly 100 people were killed in such attacks.

Afghan security forces say that in the same period, they captured 17 suspected bombers, two of them would-be suicide bombers; NATO forces say they caught 10 people planning suicide bomb attacks in recent weeks.

Last week, for the first time, a Pakistani intelligence official acknowledged that suicide bombers were being trained in Bajaur, a small Pathan tribal area along the border. In a briefing given only on condition of anonymity, the official cited the training as one reason for an airstrike this month on a religious school there that killed more than 80 people.

The arrests of Mr. Shah and others like him, Afghan and NATO officials say, show that groups intent on carrying out attacks in Afghanistan continue to operate easily inside Pakistan.

Mr. Shah said he was one of four would-be suicide bombers who arrived in Kabul from Pakistan on Sept. 30. One of them killed 12 people and wounded 40 at the pedestrian entrance to the Interior Ministry the same day.

The attack was the first suicide bomb aimed not at foreign troops but at Afghans, and it terrified Kabul residents. The dead included a woman and her child.

By Mr. Shah’s account, it could have been far worse. Mr. Shah said he and his cohort had planned to blow themselves up in four separate attacks in the capital. That they failed was due partly to luck and partly to vigilance by Afghan and NATO security forces. But their plot represented a clear escalation in the bombers’ ambitions in Afghanistan.

Wearing a black prayer cap and long beard, Mr. Shah recounted his own involvement in the presence of two Afghan intelligence officers at a jail run by the National Directorate of Security. The Afghan intelligence officers offered up Mr. Shah because, unlike others in custody facing similar charges, his investigation was over. He is now awaiting trial.

Mr. Shah showed no signs of fear or discomfort in front of his guards. But after two weeks in detention, he complained of tiredness and headaches from a longstanding but unspecified mental ailment, something his father confirmed in a separate interview at the family home in Karachi, the southern Pakistani port city.

At first Mr. Shah, who was educated through the sixth grade, denied that he intended to be a suicide bomber, but said he had gone to Afghanistan only to fight a jihad, or holy war. “I was just thinking of fighting a jihad against the infidels,” he said. “I was hearing there was fighting in Afghanistan and seeing it in the newspapers.”

But by the end of the hourlong conversation, he admitted that he had intended to blow himself up in Kabul, and said he regretted his actions. He was vague about the target of his suicide mission. “I did not know where I was going to do it,” he said.

After he was arrested, Mr. Shah said, he learned that one member of his group, whom he called Abdullah, succeeded in carrying out a suicide attack outside the Interior Ministry. “When I was arrested I heard about it and I thought it must be him,” he said.

“They came here to be martyred,” he said of his three companions, all Pakistanis, all around the same age, and all also from Karachi.

Mr. Shah himself is one of the 2.5 million Afghans who live as refugees in Pakistan and who, officials on both sides of the border agree, frequently cycle through the ranks of the Taliban and other militant Islamic groups.

The would-be suicide bombers arrested recently, the Afghan intelligence official said, emerge from two clear strands.

Some are linked to extremist groups that have long been set up and run by Pakistani intelligence as an arm of foreign policy toward rival governments in Afghanistan and India. They are technically illegal and the government now says it has cracked down on them.

Others are allied with Afghan groups like the Taliban and the renegade militia commander Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, also a longtime protégé of Pakistani intelligence, who has now allied himself with the Taliban, Afghan and NATO officials say.

Like Mr. Shah, several other would-be bombers arrested recently have come from Pakistan or were run by commanders based there, they said.

After a bombing cell of 12 people was picked up in Kabul recently, two of the men continued to receive cellphone calls while in custody, urging them to explode their bombs, the intelligence official said. The calls came from an Afghan commander called Pir Farouq, who lives in the Shamshatoo Afghan refugee camp in Peshawar, a frontier town, and is closely allied with Mr. Hekmatyar.

When Afghan intelligence, at NATO’s behest, passed on the cellphone number of Pir Farouq to Pakistani intelligence officers, their informer, a member of the commander’s inner circle, was swiftly killed, his body cut into eight pieces and dumped in the camp. NATO officials described the killing to journalists.

Another group of bombers was captured as they were planning attacks on NATO forces in northern Afghanistan. That cell was also connected to Mr. Hekmatyar, but organized by another of his commanders who lives in Quetta, a Pakistani border town, the intelligence official said.

In Mr. Shah’s case, he and his companions had all studied at the same religious school, or madrasa, at Masjid-e-Noor, a mosque in Mansehra Colony, a working-class district in northeastern Karachi. Mr. Shah said he studied there for four years, earning the title hafiz, given to one who has memorized the Koran.

The madrasa was run until recently by Maulavi Abdul Shakoor Khairpuri, who, Mr. Shah said, was a member of a banned jihadi group, Harkat-ul-Mujahedeen. Mr. Shah said it was the maulavi who sent them on the suicide mission.

The maulavi had given him a note addressed to a man called only Umar, who was waiting for them when they arrived in Kabul. Bearded, aged 28 or 29, Umar was a Taliban member from Kandahar, Mr. Shah said.

The note directed Umar to give the group explosives and stated that the equivalent of about $1,400 would be given to the families of each bomber after they finished their mission, Mr. Shah said.

Umar handed them a white rice bag. Inside were four khaki vests, with three pockets sewn on each side of the chest where the explosives were placed. “It has wires leading to a remote control and when you press the button it explodes,” Mr. Shah said.

“The vests were heavy,” he added. “There were a lot of explosives.”

Mr. Shah then started looking for a taxi. Someone, apparently an intelligence agent, offered to show him but led him instead to the intelligence office, where he was arrested. The other bombers slipped away with their vests. So did Umar.

The Afghan intelligence official confirmed much of Mr. Shah’s story. So did Mr. Shah’s father, Ahmed Shah, interviewed last month at his home in a run-down tenement on the east side of Karachi, though he said he did not know where his son had gone after leaving home three weeks before. The gaps and discrepancies in the father’s and son’s accounts seemed to indicate that neither was telling the full story.

When told why his son was in jail in Kabul, the father grew angry, but showed no surprise. “How can one feel when someone leaves the house without caring for his children — he has two small children,” he said, a boy of 4 and a girl of 2.

“We got tired of talking to him; you could not talk to him,” the father said. “Such a disobedient child, who does not care about anyone, who does not look after his parents, should go to hell.”

Mr. Shah’s teacher at the local mosque also contradicted Mr. Shah’s account.

Maulavi Khairpuri, interviewed at his home next to the Noor mosque, denied being a member of the banned Harkat-ul-Mujahedeen, as Mr. Shah had said. But he did acknowledge being the local secretary of a pro-Taliban party, Jamiat-ul-Ulama-i-Islam.

The maulavi said he had no idea that Mr. Shah had gone to Afghanistan. He denied sending Mr. Shah on the suicide mission. “He was not brave enough to do that,” he said dismissively.

Monday, November 13, 2006

Pakistan Link Seen in Afghan Suicide Attacks

Pakistan Link Seen in Afghan Suicide Attacks


PESHAWAR, Pakistan, Nov. 13 — Afghan and NATO security forces have recently rounded up several men like Hafez Daoud Shah, a 21-year-old unemployed Afghan refugee who says he drove across the border to Afghanistan in September in a taxi with three other would-be suicide bombers.

Every case, Afghan security officials say, is similar to that of Mr. Shah, who repeated his story in a rare jailhouse interview with a journalist in Kabul, the Afghan capital. The trail of organizing, financing and recruiting the bombers who have carried out a rising number of suicide attacks in Afghanistan traces back to Pakistan, they say.

“Every single bomber or I.E.D. in one way or another is linked to Pakistan,” a senior Afghan intelligence official said, referring to improvised explosive devices liked roadside bombs. “Their reasons are to keep Afghanistan destabilized, to make us fail, and to keep us fragmented.” He would speak on the subject only if he was not identified.

A senior United States military official based in Afghanistan agreed for the most part. “The strong belief is that recruiting, training and provision of technical equipment for I.E.D.’s in the main takes place outside Afghanistan,” he said. By I.E.D.’s he meant suicide bombers as well. He, too, did not want his name used because he knew his remarks were likely to offend Pakistani leaders.

The charge is in fact one of the most contentious that Afghan and American officials have leveled at the Pakistani leadership, which frequently denies the infiltration problem and insists that the roots of the Taliban insurgency lie in Afghanistan.

The dispute continues to divide Afghan and Pakistani leaders, even as the Bush administration tries to push them toward greater cooperation in fighting the Taliban, whose ranks have swelled to as many as 10,000 fighters this year.

A year ago, roadside bombs and suicide attacks were rare occurrences in Afghanistan. But they have grown more frequent and more deadly. There have been more than 90 suicide attacks in Afghanistan this year. In September and October, nearly 100 people were killed in such attacks.

Afghan security forces say that in the same period they captured 17 suspected bombers, two of them would-be suicide bombers; NATO forces say they caught 10 people planning suicide bomb attacks in recent weeks.

Last week, for the first time, a Pakistani intelligence official acknowledged that suicide bombers were being trained in Bajaur, a small Pathan tribal area along the border. In a briefing given only on condition of anonymity, the official cited the training as one reason for an airstrike this month on a religious school there that killed more than 80 people.

The arrests of Mr. Shah and others like him, Afghan and NATO officials say, show that groups intent on carrying out attacks in Afghanistan continue to operate easily inside Pakistan.

Mr. Shah said he was one of four would-be suicide bombers who arrived in Kabul from Pakistan on Sept. 30. One of them killed 12 people and wounded 40 at the pedestrian entrance to the Interior Ministry the same day.

The attack was the first suicide bomb aimed not at foreign troops but at Afghans, and it terrified Kabul residents. The dead included a woman and her child.

By Mr. Shah’s account, it could have been far worse. Mr. Shah said he and his cohort had planned to blow themselves up in four separate attacks in the capital. That they failed was due partly to luck and partly to vigilance by Afghan and NATO security forces. But their plot represented a clear escalation in the bombers’ ambitions in Afghanistan.

Wearing a black prayer cap and long beard, Mr. Shah recounted his own involvement in the presence of two Afghan intelligence officers at a jail run by the National Directorate of Security. The Afghan intelligence officers offered up Mr. Shah because, unlike others in custody facing similar charges, his investigation was over. He is now awaiting trial.

Mr. Shah showed no signs of fear or discomfort in front of his guards. But after two weeks in detention, he complained of tiredness and headaches from a longstanding but unspecified mental condition, something his father confirmed in a separate interview at the family home in Karachi, the southern Pakistani port city.

At first Mr. Shah, who was educated through the sixth grade, denied that he intended to be a suicide bomber, but said he had gone to Afghanistan only to fight jihad, or holy war. “I was just thinking of fighting jihad against the infidels,” he said. “I was hearing there was fighting in Afghanistan and seeing it in the newspapers.”

But by the end of the hourlong conversation, he admitted that he had intended to blow himself up in Kabul, and said he regretted his actions. He was vague about the target of his suicide mission. “I did not know where I was going to do it,” he said.

After he was arrested, Mr. Shah said, he learned that one member of his group, whom he called Abdullah, succeeded in carrying out a suicide attack outside the Interior Ministry. “When I was arrested, I heard about it and I thought it must be him,” he said.

“They came here to be martyred,” he said of his three companions, all Pakistanis, all around the same age, and all also from Karachi.

Mr. Shah himself is one of the 2.5 million Afghans who live as refugees in Pakistan and who, officials on both sides of the border agree, frequently cycle through the ranks of the Taliban and other militant Islamic groups.

The would-be suicide bombers arrested recently, the Afghan intelligence official said, emerge from two clear strands.

Some are linked to extremist groups that have long been set up and run by Pakistani intelligence as an arm of foreign policy toward rival governments in Afghanistan and India. They are technically illegal and the government now says it has cracked down on them.

Others are allied with Afghan groups like the Taliban and the renegade militia commander, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, also a longtime protégé of Pakistani intelligence, who has now allied himself with the Taliban, Afghan and NATO officials say.

Like Mr. Shah, several other would-be bombers arrested recently have originated in Pakistan or were run by commanders based there, they said.

After a bombing cell of 12 people was picked up in Kabul recently, two of the men continued to receive cellphone calls while in custody, urging them to explode their bombs, the intelligence official said. The calls came from an Afghan commander called Pir Farouq, who lives in the Shamshatoo Afghan refugee camp in Peshawar, a frontier town, and is closely allied with Mr. Hekmatyar.

When Afghan intelligence, at NATO’s behest, passed on the cellphone number of Pir Farouq to Pakistani intelligence officers, their informer, a member of the commander’s inner circle, was swiftly killed, his body cut into eight pieces and dumped in the camp. NATO officials described the incident to journalists.

Another group of bombers was captured as they were planning attacks on NATO forces in northern Afghanistan. That cell was also connected to Mr. Hekmatyar, but organized by another of his commanders who lives in Quetta, a Pakistani border town, the intelligence official said.

In Mr. Shah’s case, he and his companions had all studied at the same religious school, or madrasa, at Masjid-e-Noor, a mosque in Mansehra Colony, a working-class district in northeastern Karachi. Mr. Shah said he studied there for four years, earning the title hafiz, given to one who has memorized the Koran.

The madrasa was run until recently by Maulavi Abdul Shakoor Khairpuri, who, Mr. Shah said, was a member of a banned jihadi group, Harkat-ul-Mujahedeen. Mr. Shah said it was the maulavi who sent them on the suicide mission.

The maulavi had given him a note addressed to a man called only Umar, who was waiting for them when they arrived in Kabul. Bearded, aged 28 or 29, Umar was a Taliban member from Kandahar, Mr. Shah said.

The note directed Umar to give the group explosives and stated that the equivalent of about $1,400 would be given to the families of each bomber after they finished their mission, Mr. Shah said.

Umar handed them a white rice bag. Inside were four khaki vests, with three pockets sewn on each side of the chest where the explosives were placed. “It has wires leading to a remote control and when you press the button it explodes,” Mr. Shah said.

“The vests were heavy,” he added. “There were a lot of explosives.”

Mr. Shah then started looking for a taxi. Someone, apparently an intelligence agent, offered to show him but led him instead to the intelligence office, where he was arrested. The other bombers slipped away with their vests. So did Umar.

The Afghan intelligence official confirmed much of Mr. Shah’s story. So did Mr. Shah’s father, Ahmed Shah, interviewed last month at his home in a run-down tenement on the east side of Karachi, though he said he did not know where his son had gone after leaving home three weeks ago. The gaps and discrepancies in the father’s and son’s accounts seemed to indicate that neither was telling the full story.

When told why his son was in jail in Kabul, the father grew angry, but showed no surprise. “How can one feel when someone leaves the house without caring for his children — he has two small children,” he said, a boy of 4 and a girl of 2.

“We got tired of talking to him; you could not talk to him,” the father said. “Such a disobedient child, who does not care about anyone, who does not look after his parents, should go to hell.”

Mr. Shah’s teacher at the local mosque also contradicted Mr. Shah’s account.

Maulavi Khairpuri, interviewed at his home next to the Noor mosque, denied being a member of the banned Harkat-ul-Mujahedeen, as Mr. Shah had said. But he did acknowledge being the local secretary of a pro-Taliban party, Jamiat-ul-Ulama-i-Islam.

The maulavi said he had no idea that Mr. Shah had gone to Afghanistan. He denied sending Mr. Shah on the suicide mission. “He was not brave enough to do that,” he said dismissively.

Friday, November 10, 2006

Pak-based al-Qaeda big threat to UK: spy chief

Pak-based al-Qaeda big threat to UK: spy chief

By By our correspondent

LONDON: The British intelligence agency, M15, has warned its government against a big security threat from Pakistan-based al-Qaeda.

MI5 Director-General Dame Eliza said Pakistan-based top leadership of al-Qaeda has become a big threat to the UK security, claiming that 1,600 suspected British-born radical Muslim youths were being directly controlled from Pakistan to launch mass murder attacks in Great Britain.

This is for the first time that UK has directly named the top leadership of al-Qaeda based in Pakistan, converting British young Muslims into suicide bombers. She claimed that these radical young UK-born Muslims were being used as “foot soldiers” by terrorists based in Pakistan.

“The nature and gravity of the threat was deepening, fuelled by the rapid radicalisation of young British Muslims - some still at school, yet prepared to join the ranks of the suicide bombers,” she said, adding, “The country faced a sustained and growing threat that would last a generation”.

Although the MI5 chief normally prefers to stay in the background, Dame Eliza followed the precedent of her two predecessors in making the occasional public speech. This was her third since the July 7 bombings in London last year and contained the starkest assessment yet of the dangers facing Britain.

The significant Muslim population and the constant flow of British-born Pakistanis visiting their families in Pakistan every year have been cited as providing al-Qaeda with opportunities of converting young people to terrorism.

Eliza’s comments came in an address to a discreet audience from the Mile End Group run by Peter Hennessy, Professor of Contemporary British History at Queens Mary, University of London.

Both police and security sources have given warnings that Britain has become the No 1 target of al-Qaeda. She timed her stark assessment to coincide with the conviction of Dhiren Barot, who converted to Islam from Hinduism, for plotting car bomb and dirty bomb attacks in London.

This is very intriguing that the MI5 chief, chose to go public and warn everybody how radicalisation of Islam by new generation of Muslims, mostly belonging to Pakistan, was posing a serious threat of mass murder and most importantly how the Pakistani soil was being used by these terrorists to put the security of UK in danger.

MI5 has identified 200 terrorist networks involving at least 1,600 people, many under the direct control of al-Qaeda leaders in Pakistan. “More and more people are moving from passive sympathy towards active terrorism by being radicalised or indoctrinated by friends, families in organised training events here and overseas,” she said. “Young teenagers are being groomed to be suicide bombers.”

She said it was clear from “martyrdom” videos that suicide bombers were motivated in part by their interpretation of UK foreign policy to be anti-Muslim, in particular following UK’s involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Eliza’s speech was later published on MI5’s website before its clearance by John Reid, home secretary. The official said she was alarmed by the “scale and speed” of the radicalisation, which security sources later said had intensified since the 7/7 bombings.

“It is the youth who are being actively targeted, groomed, radicalised and set on a path that frighteningly quickly could end in their involvement in mass murder of their fellow citizens, or their early death in a suicide attack or on a foreign battlefield,” she said.

“My officers and the police are working to contend with some 200 groupings or networks, totalling over 1,600 identified individuals (and there will be many we don’t know) who are actively engaged in plotting or facilitating terrorist acts here and overseas,” she said.

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Pakistan's economy tanking: Dwindling reserves threatening economy

Dwindling reserves threatening economy


By Khaleeq Kiani

ISLAMABAD, Nov 8: With higher imports and slowing down privatisation, the foreign exchange reserves have started to deplete alarmingly and could cover just three to four months of imports from about nine-month coverage two years back, Dawn has learnt.

The latest estimates put total foreign exchange reserves at about $12.4 billion, of which $10.2 billion are currently held by the State Bank. After accounting for more than $1.2 billion liabilities and selling of dollars in the futures market by the central bank, net foreign exchange reserves stand close to $8.5 billion.

This means that the country’s reserves can cover about 3-4 months of import bill - a situation better only than last few months of the Nawaz Sharif government when reserves were enough just for few weeks of imports, a senior executive of a foreign bank told Dawn.

This is despite the government’s policy statements over the last year that it would maintain reserves to cover at least six months of imports at all times.

Pakistan’s imports in the first quarter of the current year have amounted to about $7.43 billion, averaging at around $2.48 per month, which is much higher than last year’s monthly average imports of about $2.38 billion. The trade deficit at the current rate of about $1.054 billion per month was also likely to cross $12.7 billion and put an additional burden of about $600 million by end of the year.

Sources in the lending agencies said the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank have been pointing out the declining trend in the foreign exchange situation and advising the government to put in place fall back arrangements and avoid overvaluation of the local currency.

The World Bank, said these sources, asked the government recently to pursue "an appropriate exchange rate policy that will avoid overvaluation of the currency".

Compared with this situation, these sources said, the foreign exchange reserves were increasing about two years back, at the same time prepaying high cost loans through creation of a sinking fund of about $1.2 billion that led to prepayment of about $1.18 billion debt to the ADB. At one time, the reserves had reached $13 billion, enough for more than nine months of imports and that too after prepayment of loans.

These sources said Pakistan has started to rely heavily on foreign direct investment (FDI) but this source under the exchange rules can go anywhere at any time, whether it is in the equity or the capital market.

“What the government can do in case the FDI starts to go back to its original destination because it would then put big pressure on the exchange rate of rupee and the level of reserves would drastically come down,” said a source at a multilateral agency.

A major part of the FDI during the last 15 months or so has been through the privatisation process, instead of asset creation that may not be available in the days ahead.

On top of that, the repatriation of dividends would put additional burden on foreign exchange reserves, the source said, adding the privatisation of PTCL alone has increased profit repatriation by about $210 million. This meant that total flight of foreign exchange in the shape of dividends would touch about $800 million by end of this year.

Already, he said, an arbitrage has been created in favour of the dollar owing to increase in interest rates by the State Bank of Pakistan and a foreigner could gain about seven per cent just by selling dollar in the local market and then by buying it back because of a stagnation in the value of rupee over the years.

The ADB told the government recently in writing that “the heavy reliance on these non-recurrent and sometimes volatile inflows (US payments for logistic support, privatisation and foreign investment in equities) is a major issue for sustaining such high levels of both imports and the current account deficit, highlighting the government’s need to strengthen the underlying fundamentals of the balance of payments.

Last year, the US provided over $1.1 billion to Pakistan for logistic support which may not be available in the longer run. Another $1.5 billion was borrowed through Sukuk and Eurobonds last year and $3.3 billion through selling of the state assets.

“Other worrying features were that the current account deficit rose so strongly, despite receipts of $1.1 billion from the United States for logistics support; and that one third of current account deficit financing was non-recurrent, and related to inflows from privatisations and foreign investment in equities,” the ADB said.

According to the ADB, the burgeoning current account deficit, continuing high inflation, and latent power shortages are potential risks to the country’s medium-term economic prospects. Moreover, additions to the pro-poor measures already announced in the FY2007 budget may, in the lead up to the 2007 general elections, further weaken the budgetary position in the coming year.

Taliban fighters talk tactics - while safe in Pakistan

Taliban fighters talk tactics - while safe in Pakistan


| Contributor to The Christian Science Monitor
The 22-year-old doesn't look like the traditional turbaned Taliban commander. His black hair shoots out at all angles from beneath a red cap. He smiles easily and has a neatly trimmed beard.

But Hilal says he is the co-leader of 200 Taliban fighters who operate across the border in Afghanistan. "Two years ago, we only attacked Afghan officials, but now we have so many Talibs that we can attack Americans," he boasts.


In a rare interview with a Western reporter, Hilal and three other Afghan Taliban fighters describe how they slip into Afghanistan, attack NATO and Afghan forces, and return to Pakistan to rest.

"Everybody in the neighborhood knows we are Talibs," says Noman, a 19-year-old fighter with a blue-white block-printed turban. "Paki-stan is a little bit free for us."

The interview was conducted over two days in a small house made of yellow mud in Pakistan's Balochistan Province. The fighters, who won't give their real names, say they are here for a refresher course in Taliban ideology in a Pakistani religious school.

"We are enormously organized," brags Mustafa, a 20-year-old wearing a black turban usually favored by conservative Muslims.

"Even British defense officials say they face a lot of problems from the Taliban."

A year ago, such confident talk from Taliban fighters could have been chalked up to bravado. But with more than 50 suicide attacks in the past six months, resistance by large Taliban units in the increasingly volatile provinces of Kandahar and Helmand in the south, and a greater willingness of Taliban fighters to come out into the open and speak their minds are all indications that the Taliban resurgence is no longer a matter of conjecture.

This year has been a difficult one for the US, coalition, and Afghan forces. With US commanders handing control of the south over to its British, Canadian, Dutch, and other allies in NATO, the Taliban are making the transfer a bloody one. How NATO forces fare in the south could determine whether the democratically elected government of President Hamid Karzai - and indeed, the experiment in Afghan democracy itself - succeeds or fails.

Commander Hilal says that currently 40 of his troops are in Afghanistan fighting, and 160 are "refreshing their ideology" in Pakistan. Hilal says that he discusses military plans by cellphone and satellite phone with higher Taliban commanders who are all in Afghanistan.

Hilal says his fighters operate in groups of 20 to 25 men in the Afghan provinces Ghazni and Zabul. There are 35 groups active in Zabul's capital, Qalat, and 20 to 25 in the rest of by American forces controlled province.

Mustafa, in the black turban, says that the Talibs cross the border alone or in twos. Depending on the crossing point, he says - listing Pakistan border cities of Chaman, Badini, and Torkham - it takes one or two nights to join up with other Taliban fighters, he says. "The majority have Pakistani identity cards, so crossing the border is no problem," he says.

The Taliban fighters return to a different house in Pakistan every month, but say that they must be very careful in Afghanistan, says Noman, a gaunt-faced young man who says he wants to learn English. But Mustafa adds that they are no longer in hiding in Afghanistan. "We are now 200 to 300 at a time and can roam around freely," he says.

Prior to every mission, they get training in one of the many training camps in the Afghan mountains, says the 22-year-old Ali, who is quiet through most of the interview.

Afghanistan and NATO officials regularly accuse Pakistan of harboring Taliban leaders. Pakistan officials say they are doing everything they can to remove them.

On Wednesday, a suicide bomber killed 35 Pakistani soldiers in a brazen attack at a military base in Pakistan's North West Frontier Province, leaving the Army shaken and a Taliban peace deal in tatters.

"Never has there been so many military casualties in one attack," says Ramiullah Yusufzai, a Peshawar-based journalist who has covered the Pakistan military's campaign against militants since 2001.

Hours after the attack, an organization calling itself the Pakistan Taliban, which had never come forward before, phoned Mr. Yusufzai to claim responsibility. The caller told Yusufzai that the bomber prepared a suicide video before carrying out the strike, suggesting a parallel in tactics used by Taliban militants in Afghanistan.

The four fighters say they all studied at an Afghan madrassah (religious school) before the American forces entered Afghanistan in 2001. Hilal fled to Pakistan when his fellow students at the madrassah were arrested after the Taliban regime was toppled. In 2003, he says, he joined the jihad.

In their Afghan camps, "we get training, even suicide education. There are many groups saying how we suicide bomb, lay mines, or use Kalashnikovs," he says. Suicide attacks are not for him, he says. "It takes a lot of training. You have to think about target time, because maybe you blow up yourself but nobody else."

All of their ammunition is inside Afghanistan and is used against non-Muslims, says Mustafa. "There is a lot of ammunition in Afghanistan to use against the non-Muslims. We hid it in depots after the fall of the Taliban."

The Afghan forces are the targets are considered "non-Muslims" because they work with the Americans. "All the checkpoints are covered by Afghan troops, so we go for them first," he says.

A month ago, Hilal says his forces attacked a military convoy in Zabul's provincial capital, Qalat. He says they killed 35 Afghan troops. Two Taliban fighters were injured.

The Taliban fighters also pride themselves on blocking the main highway between Kandahar and Kabul.

Mustafa says he's in favor of the international reconstruction work in Afghanistan. But Noman interrupts, raising a finger. "We are not in favor of reconstruction work, because it happens in the name of Christianity. This is why we close the schools. The government completely changed the books. A was for Allah, now it stands for Aass [mule in Pashto], J was for Jihad, now it stands for Jawary [maiz in Pashto]. With pamphlets, letters, and by taking the teachers "into confidence," Noman says they try to close down the schools - if necessary, by force.

More than 160 Afghan schools have been attacked this year, according to The Associated Press.

The fighters say ordinary Afghans give them vehicles, fuel, food, medicine, and information. "There are many business men who help us. We were given 10 vehicles in Kandahar and 15 in Helmand. Sometimes they give us security. They say, 'He is not a Talib, he is my family member.' That is jihad," says Noman.

The interview has been watched by a silent little observer: an 11-year-old boy on a wooden seat. His parents have sent him to Noman for religious training. He brings food to the Taliban fighters in the house. When he is grown, he says shyly, he wants to be a fighter. "Now I am still a kid, but when I have a beard I can join."

Correspondent David Montero in Islamabad, Pakistan, contributed to this report.

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Backing US was compulsion, not choice: Kasuri

Backing US was compulsion, not choice: Kasuri
By Ahmed Hassan

ISLAMABAD, Nov 3: Foreign Minister Khurshid Mehmood Kasuri has said Pakistan took the right decision to join the international war on terrorism. Otherwise, he said, its fate would not have been different from that of Afghanistan and Iraq.

He was speaking at a Senate Foreign Affairs Committee meeting, which was summoned at the Parliament House on Friday mainly to discuss Monday’s air strike on a Bajaur seminary in which more than 80 people were killed, triggering country-wide protests and a wave of agitation in tribal areas. The meeting was presided over by the chairman of the committee, Mushahid Hussain Syed.

(According to Online, Mr Kasuri told the Senate committee that siding with the US was a compulsion and not a choice as Pakistan’s uncooperative attitude towards the US in the war against terrorism could have landed the country in a situation similar to that Iraq.)

The foreign minister came under severe criticism for what was described as lopsided foreign policy which, some senators said, had given the country nothing and taken away its sovereignty and dignity.

Mr Kasuri was asked questions relating to the Bajaur incident, fate of Northern areas and Pakistan-India talks. Some members criticised the government for the Bajaur incident and described it as a foreign policy failure.

Mr Kasuri said questions relating to the Bajaur operation should be addressed to the interior and defence ministries which were responsible for the country’s law and order situation and anti-terrorism operations, adding that he could not say if there was any US involvement in the bombing.

Maulana Samiul Haq, chief of his own faction of the Jamiat-i-Ulema-i-Islam (JUI), blamed the foreign policy for the loss of so many innocent lives and termed it extra-judicial killings.

Accusing the United States of orchestrating the attack, the Maulana said the Pakistani army could not be so cruel as to kill its own people in such a barbaric way.

He said if the government knew that there were terrorists hiding somewhere in the Bajaur Agency it could have sent security forces to the area to arrest them.

He said such an extreme action would have been justified if the militants had defied the writ of the government.

Maulana Haq rejected Mr Kasuri’s stand that had Pakistan refused to join the US-led anti-terror war the US would have taken action.

He asked the government to demonstrate courage and stop repeating such incidents in future.

At one point, Nisar A. Memon said that there was no mention of the country’s foreign policy on the foreign office’s official website, which reflected the inability of the foreign office to formulate and declare its policy while all other government departments had projected their policies.

Mr Kasuri admitted that Pakistan was forced to take action on its side of the border to satisfy Afghanistan and to remove their complaints. He said Pakistan was pursuing a policy of peaceful co-existence to subdue the hostile attitude of the Afghan leadership.